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Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
2 – 8
Final
Marlins -1.5 covered
Over 8
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, August 12
6:40 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
PIT 44%MIA 56%
Fair moneyline
+125 / -125
PIT / MIA, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +3 pts
SharpModels 56% · market 53% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1491
PIT / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
+108
DraftKings
+108 +105 +106
Marlins
Moneyline
-116
DraftKings
-116 -125 -116
Pirates
Spread
+1.5-200
BetMGM
+1-156 +1.5-200 +1.5-204
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+170
bet365
-1+118 -1.5+165 -1.5+170
Over
Total
8-110
BetMGM
8-112 8-110 8-110
Under
Total
8-109
DraftKings
8-109 8-110 8-110
Margin
Moneyline
1.7% 1.7%4.2%2.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-5
PIT +5
+710-1667 - -
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+522-1000 - -
-4
PIT +4
+495-909 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+361-556 +360-556 -
-3
PIT +3
+334-526 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+249-357 +250-357 -
-2
PIT +2
+219-303 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+168-208 +165-200 +170-204
-1
PIT +1
+118-156 - -
+1
PIT -1
-179+134 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-222+165 -222+165 -
+2
PIT -2
-323+228 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-370+260 -385+270 -
+3
PIT -3
-556+357 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-625+387 -625+400 -
+4
PIT -4
-1000+540 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-1111+569 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1250 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1200 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4
Over / Under
- -1250+625 -
4.5
Over / Under
-769+441 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-667+394 -667+400 -
5.5
Over / Under
-357+246 -357+250 -
6
Over / Under
-312+222 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-233+172 -238+180 -
7
Over / Under
-189+142 -200+150 -
7.5
Over / Under
-139+106 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-112-109 -110-110 -110-110
8.5
Over / Under
+102-133 +105-139 -
9
Over / Under
+131-172 +140-182 -
9.5
Over / Under
+156-208 +170-227 -
10
Over / Under
+190-263 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+209-286 +220-303 -
11
Over / Under
+278-400 +290-417 -
11.5
Over / Under
+305-455 +320-476 -
12
Over / Under
+379-625 +400-625 -
12.5
Over / Under
+398-667 +400-667 -
13
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.