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Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds

Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
7 – 1
Final
Marlins -1.5 covered
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, August 16
1:40 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
MIA 46%CIN 54%
Fair moneyline
+118 / -118
MIA / CIN, no vig
Market win %
53% / 47%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +7 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1491 / 1485
MIA / CIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Marlins
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-119 -125 -115
Reds
Moneyline
+110
DraftKings
+110 +105 +105
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+135
BetMGM
-1+102 -1.5+135 -1.5+135
Reds
Spread
+1.5-159
bet365
+1-133 +1.5-167 +1.5-159
Over
Total
8-115
BetMGM
8.5-102 8-115 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
bet365
8.5-119 8-105 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
1.1% 1.9%4.2%2.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CIN line
-4
MIA +4
+660-1429 - -
-3.5
MIA +3.5
+477-833 +500-714 -
-3
MIA +3
+448-769 - -
-2.5
MIA +2.5
+324-500 +333-455 -
-2
MIA +2
+291-435 - -
-1.5
MIA +1.5
+208-286 +200-250 -
-1
MIA +1
+159-213 - -
+1
MIA -1
-133+102 - -
+1.5
MIA -1.5
-164+135 -167+135 -159+135
+2
MIA -2
-238+175 - -
+2.5
MIA -2.5
-286+205 -278+220 -
+3
MIA -3
-417+279 - -
+3.5
MIA -3.5
-455+309 -417+320 -
+4
MIA -4
-714+429 - -
+4.5
MIA -4.5
-833+459 - -
+5
MIA -5
-1429+630 - -
+5.5
MIA -5.5
-1429+660 - -

Top number: CIN at that line; bottom: MIA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1650 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1500 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+775 -
4
Over / Under
- -1250+725 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+475 -714+500 -
5
Over / Under
-714+429 -625+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+267 -357+280 -
6
Over / Under
-345+242 -333+260 -
6.5
Over / Under
-250+185 -250+200 -
7
Over / Under
-204+153 -200+165 -
7.5
Over / Under
-147+111 -139+115 -
8
Over / Under
-125-104 -115-105 -
8.5
Over / Under
-102-119 +105-125 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+121-159 +135-167 -
9.5
Over / Under
+145-192 +165-200 -
10
Over / Under
+176-238 +200-250 -
10.5
Over / Under
+194-263 +225-286 -
11
Over / Under
+260-370 +300-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+288-417 +333-455 -
12
Over / Under
+360-556 +425-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+380-625 +425-588 -
13
Over / Under
- +600-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +625-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +750-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.