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New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays odds

New York
Yankees
SM rating 1556 · #3
4 – 3
Final
Blue Jays -1.5 did not cover
Over 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, August 16
1:37 PM ET
Rogers Centre
Toronto
Blue Jays
SM rating 1515 · #12
NYY 50%TOR 50%
Fair moneyline
+102 / -102
NYY / TOR, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NYY +3 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1556 / 1515
NYY / TOR, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Yankees
Moneyline
+111
bet365
+110 +105 +111
Blue Jays
Moneyline
-119
DraftKings
-119 -128 -120
Yankees
Spread
+1.5-208
bet365
+1-161 +1.5-222 +1.5-208
Blue Jays
Spread
-1.5+180
BetMGM
-1+121 -1.5+180 -1.5+175
Over
Total
6.5-120
bet365
6.5-122 6.5-120 6.5-120
Under
Total
6.5+101
DraftKings
6.5+101 6.5+100 6.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
1.7% 1.9%4.7%1.9%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TOR line
-4.5
NYY +4.5
+640-1429 - -
-4
NYY +4
+610-1250 - -
-3.5
NYY +3.5
+425-714 +450-769 -
-3
NYY +3
+391-625 - -
-2.5
NYY +2.5
+275-400 +290-417 -
-2
NYY +2
+241-345 - -
-1.5
NYY +1.5
+178-222 +180-222 +175-208
-1
NYY +1
+121-161 - -
+1
NYY -1
-189+141 - -
+1.5
NYY -1.5
-238+176 -238+180 -
+2
NYY -2
-357+252 - -
+2.5
NYY -2.5
-435+288 -417+290 -
+3
NYY -3
-714+414 - -
+3.5
NYY -3.5
-769+448 -769+450 -
+4
NYY -4
-1429+630 - -
+4.5
NYY -4.5
-1429+650 - -
+5
NYY -5
-3333+920 - -

Top number: TOR at that line; bottom: NYY at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1250 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1200 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2000+825 -
3
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
3.5
Over / Under
-625+382 -625+400 -
4
Over / Under
-556+350 -588+375 -
4.5
Over / Under
-357+249 -385+270 -
5
Over / Under
-286+208 -303+220 -
5.5
Over / Under
-185+138 -189+145 -
6
Over / Under
-156+119 -161+125 -
6.5
Over / Under
-122+101 -120+100 -120+100
7
Over / Under
+105-137 +105-139 -
7.5
Over / Under
+132-175 +140-182 -
8
Over / Under
+162-217 +175-238 -
8.5
Over / Under
+182-250 +200-278 -
9
Over / Under
+247-357 +270-385 -
9.5
Over / Under
+276-400 +300-455 -
10
Over / Under
+346-526 +375-588 -
10.5
Over / Under
+367-588 +400-625 -
11
Over / Under
+510-909 +550-1000 -
11.5
Over / Under
+539-1000 +575-1111 -
12
Over / Under
- +725-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.