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San Diego Padres at Cleveland Guardians odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
5 – 0
Final
Padres -1.5 covered
Under 8
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, August 16
1:40 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
SD 51%CLE 49%
Fair moneyline
-103 / +103
SD / CLE, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +0 pts
SharpModels 49% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1516
SD / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
-105
DraftKings
-105 -115 -112
Guardians
Moneyline
+102
bet365
-103 -105 +102
Padres
Spread
-1+115
DraftKings
-1+115 -1.5+145 -1.5+140
Guardians
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1-152 +1.5-175 +1.5-164
Over
Total
8-115
BetMGM
8-115 8-115 8.5+100
Under
Total
8.5-120
bet365
8-106 8-105 8.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
0.7% 1.9%4.5%2.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-4.5
SD +4.5
+610-1250 - -
-4
SD +4
+585-1250 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+420-714 +450-769 -
-3
SD +3
+389-625 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+279-417 +300-455 -
-2
SD +2
+248-357 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+181-250 +185-250 -
-1
SD +1
+136-182 - -
+1
SD -1
-152+115 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-182+148 -175+145 -164+140
+2
SD -2
-263+192 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-312+222 -294+210 -
+3
SD -3
-455+302 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-500+331 -476+320 -
+4
SD -4
-769+449 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-833+476 - -
+5
SD -5
-1429+670 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4.5
Over / Under
-833+461 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-714+412 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-357+253 -385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-323+229 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-244+178 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-196+146 -200+154 -
7.5
Over / Under
-141+106 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-115-106 -115-105 -
8.5
Over / Under
-101-130 +100-128 +100-120
9
Over / Under
+128-169 +135-175 -
9.5
Over / Under
+154-204 +160-208 -
10
Over / Under
+188-256 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+207-286 +210-294 -
11
Over / Under
+274-400 +280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+301-455 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+373-588 +375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+393-625 +400-625 -
13
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.