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Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
5 – 6
Final
Phillies -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, August 17
6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
MIA 41%PHI 59%
Fair moneyline
+147 / -147
MIA / PHI, no vig
Market win %
30% / 70%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +11 pts
SharpModels 41% · market 30% (no vig)
Ratings
1491 / 1544
MIA / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 11 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Marlins
Moneyline
+232
DraftKings
+232 +220 +220
Phillies
Moneyline
-250
bet365
-256 -278 -250
Marlins
Spread
+1.5+105
BetMGM
+2-128 +1.5+105 +1.5+100
Phillies
Spread
-2-101
DraftKings
-2-101 -1.5-125 -1.5-120
Over
Total
8.5-105
bet365
8.5-105 8.5-105 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
bet365
8.5-116 8.5-115 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
1.5% 2.0%4.6%2.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-6.5
MIA +6.5
+554-1111 - -
-6
MIA +6
+528-1000 - -
-5.5
MIA +5.5
+390-625 +400-667 -
-5
MIA +5
+363-588 - -
-4.5
MIA +4.5
+271-400 +290-417 -
-4
MIA +4
+245-345 - -
-3.5
MIA +3.5
+186-256 +200-278 -
-3
MIA +3
+160-217 - -
-2.5
MIA +2.5
+123-161 +125-167 -
-2
MIA +2
-101-128 - -
-1.5
MIA +1.5
-125+103 -125+105 -120+100
-1
MIA +1
-213+157 - -
+1
MIA -1
-435+293 - -
+1.5
MIA -1.5
-500+327 -476+325 -
+2
MIA -2
-833+472 - -
+2.5
MIA -2.5
-909+506 - -
+3
MIA -3
-1667+710 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: MIA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-769+449 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-417+284 -417+290 -
6
Over / Under
-370+258 -385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-270+195 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-217+163 -227+170 -
7.5
Over / Under
-156+119 -154+120 -
8
Over / Under
-133+102 -128+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-105-116 -105-115 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+115-152 +120-154 -
9.5
Over / Under
+139-185 +145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+168-227 +180-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+185-250 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+244-345 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+271-400 +290-417 -
12
Over / Under
+337-526 +360-556 -
12.5
Over / Under
+357-556 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+481-833 +500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.