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Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins odds

Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
0 – 4
Final
Red Sox -1.5 did not cover
Under 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, August 26
6:40 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
BOS 52%MIA 48%
Fair moneyline
-107 / +107
BOS / MIA, no vig
Market win %
55% / 45%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +4 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 45% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1491
BOS / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Red Sox
Moneyline
-128
bet365
-130 -139 -128
Marlins
Moneyline
+120
DraftKings
+120 +115 +118
Red Sox
Spread
-1.5+130
bet365
-1-106 -1.5+125 -1.5+130
Marlins
Spread
+1.5-154
BetMGM
+1-123 +1.5-154 +1.5-154
Over
Total
7.5-112
DraftKings
7.5-112 7.5-115 7.5-115
Under
Total
7.5-105
BetMGM
7.5-108 7.5-105 7.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
1.6% 1.9%4.5%2.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-4
BOS +4
+760-2000 - -
-3.5
BOS +3.5
+541-1000 +525-909 -
-3
BOS +3
+509-909 - -
-2.5
BOS +2.5
+355-556 +350-526 -
-2
BOS +2
+321-476 - -
-1.5
BOS +1.5
+225-312 +220-303 -
-1
BOS +1
+175-238 - -
+1
BOS -1
-123-106 - -
+1.5
BOS -1.5
-156+128 -154+125 -154+130
+2
BOS -2
-222+164 - -
+2.5
BOS -2.5
-263+193 -278+200 -
+3
BOS -3
-370+261 - -
+3.5
BOS -3.5
-435+291 -417+290 -
+4
BOS -4
-667+397 - -
+4.5
BOS -4.5
-714+426 - -
+5
BOS -5
-1250+590 - -
+5.5
BOS -5.5
-1250+620 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: BOS at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+2000 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1150 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
4
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
4.5
Over / Under
-625+379 -667+400 -
5
Over / Under
-500+332 -556+360 -
5.5
Over / Under
-294+210 -333+240 -
6
Over / Under
-256+186 -278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-192+146 -208+155 -
7
Over / Under
-156+118 -161+125 -
7.5
Over / Under
-112-108 -115-105 -115-105
8
Over / Under
+102-133 +100-128 -
8.5
Over / Under
+118-156 +120-154 -
9
Over / Under
+154-204 +160-208 -
9.5
Over / Under
+180-244 +185-250 -
10
Over / Under
+221-312 +240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+240-345 +250-357 -
11
Over / Under
+329-500 +333-500 -
11.5
Over / Under
+359-556 +360-556 -
12
Over / Under
+446-769 +450-769 -
12.5
Over / Under
+465-833 +475-833 -
13
Over / Under
- +625-1250 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.