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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds

Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
3 – 0
Final
Guardians -1.5 did not cover
Under 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, August 28
7:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
KC 42%CLE 58%
Fair moneyline
+138 / -138
KC / CLE, no vig
Market win %
45% / 55%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +3 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 55% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1516
KC / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Royals
Moneyline
+120
DraftKings
+120 +115 +120
Guardians
Moneyline
-130
DraftKings
-130 -139 -130
Royals
Spread
+1-141
DraftKings
+1-141 +1.5-189 +1.5-189
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1+107 -1.5+155 -1.5+160
Over
Total
7.5+100
bet365
7.5-102 7.5+100 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-119
DraftKings
7.5-119 7.5-120 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
1.9% 1.9%4.5%1.9%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-5
KC +5
+750-2000 - -
-4.5
KC +4.5
+541-1000 - -
-4
KC +4
+512-1000 - -
-3.5
KC +3.5
+368-588 +375-588 -
-3
KC +3
+336-526 - -
-2.5
KC +2.5
+240-345 +240-333 -
-2
KC +2
+209-286 - -
-1.5
KC +1.5
+158-196 +155-189 +160-189
-1
KC +1
+107-141 - -
+1
KC -1
-204+153 - -
+1.5
KC -1.5
-256+187 -250+185 -
+2
KC -2
-385+268 - -
+2.5
KC -2.5
-455+303 -417+290 -
+3
KC -3
-769+441 - -
+3.5
KC -3.5
-833+476 -769+450 -
+4
KC -4
-1667+670 - -
+4.5
KC -4.5
-1667+700 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: KC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1850 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1000+525 -
4
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -556+360 -
5
Over / Under
- -476+320 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -278+200 -
6
Over / Under
- -238+180 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -182+140 -
7
Over / Under
- -143+110 -
7.5
Over / Under
-102-119 +100-120 +100-120
8
Over / Under
- +118-154 -
8.5
Over / Under
- +135-179 -
9
Over / Under
- +185-250 -
9.5
Over / Under
- +210-294 -
10
Over / Under
- +270-385 -
10.5
Over / Under
- +280-400 -
11
Over / Under
- +375-588 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +400-625 -
12
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
13
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.