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San Diego Padres at Tampa Bay Rays odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
4 – 9
Final
Rays -1.5 covered
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, August 28
7:10 PM ET
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1550 · #5
SD 47%TB 53%
Fair moneyline
+114 / -114
SD / TB, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +1 pts
SharpModels 47% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1550
SD / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
+115
bet365
+114 +105 +115
Rays
Moneyline
-123
DraftKings
-123 -128 -125
Padres
Spread
+1.5-189
bet365
+1-147 +1.5-200 +1.5-189
Rays
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1+112 -1.5+165 -1.5+160
Over
Total
7.5-105
bet365
7.5-105 7.5-105 7.5-105
Under
Total
7.5-115
bet365
7.5-116 7.5-115 7.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
1.6% 1.9%4.7%2.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-5
SD +5
+760-2000 - -
-4.5
SD +4.5
+545-1000 - -
-4
SD +4
+515-1000 - -
-3.5
SD +3.5
+369-588 +360-556 -
-3
SD +3
+339-526 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+246-357 +240-333 -
-2
SD +2
+215-303 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+159-196 +165-200 +160-189
-1
SD +1
+112-147 - -
+1
SD -1
-196+147 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-250+183 -227+170 -
+2
SD -2
-370+259 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-435+294 -400+275 -
+3
SD -3
-714+414 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-769+446 -667+400 -
+4
SD -4
-1429+640 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-1429+670 - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1850 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
4
Over / Under
- -1000+525 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -588+375 -
5
Over / Under
- -500+333 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -294+210 -
6
Over / Under
- -250+185 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -189+145 -
7
Over / Under
- -149+115 -
7.5
Over / Under
-105-116 -105-115 -105-115
8
Over / Under
- +110-143 -
8.5
Over / Under
- +130-169 -
9
Over / Under
- +170-227 -
9.5
Over / Under
- +200-278 -
10
Over / Under
- +250-357 -
10.5
Over / Under
- +270-385 -
11
Over / Under
- +360-556 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +400-625 -
12
Over / Under
- +475-833 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +500-909 -
13
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.