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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians odds

Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
1 – 11
Final
Guardians -1.5 covered
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, August 30
1:40 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
KC 42%CLE 58%
Fair moneyline
+135 / -135
KC / CLE, no vig
Market win %
37% / 63%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +6 pts
SharpModels 42% · market 37% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1516
KC / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Royals
Moneyline
+169
DraftKings
+169 +155 +168
Guardians
Moneyline
-182
bet365
-185 -189 -182
Royals
Spread
+1+108
DraftKings
+1+108 +1.5-139 +1.5-135
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+115
BetMGM
-1-141 -1.5+115 -1.5+115
Over
Total
7.5+100
DraftKings
7.5+100 7.5-102 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-118
BetMGM
7.5-120 7.5-118 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
1.7% 2.0%4.4%1.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-6
KC +6
+770-2000 - -
-5.5
KC +5.5
+574-1111 +575-1111 -
-5
KC +5
+546-1000 - -
-4.5
KC +4.5
+397-667 +400-667 -
-4
KC +4
+368-588 - -
-3.5
KC +3.5
+269-385 +280-400 -
-3
KC +3
+238-333 - -
-2.5
KC +2.5
+174-238 +180-238 -
-2
KC +2
+145-192 - -
-1.5
KC +1.5
+113-137 +115-139 +115-135
-1
KC +1
-141+108 - -
+1
KC -1
-303+217 - -
+1.5
KC -1.5
-357+253 -357+250 -
+2
KC -2
-588+367 - -
+2.5
KC -2.5
-667+402 - -
+3
KC -3
-1250+589 - -
+3.5
KC -3.5
-1250+620 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: KC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1850 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1000+525 -
4
Over / Under
-833+481 -909+500 -
4.5
Over / Under
-526+342 -556+360 -
5
Over / Under
-435+297 -476+320 -
5.5
Over / Under
-263+191 -278+200 -
6
Over / Under
-227+168 -238+180 -
6.5
Over / Under
-175+132 -189+145 -
7
Over / Under
-139+105 -143+110 -
7.5
Over / Under
+100-120 -102-118 +100-120
8
Over / Under
+115-152 +115-149 -
8.5
Over / Under
+132-175 +135-175 -
9
Over / Under
+174-233 +180-238 -
9.5
Over / Under
+201-278 +210-294 -
10
Over / Under
+250-357 +270-385 -
10.5
Over / Under
+271-400 +280-400 -
11
Over / Under
+371-588 +375-588 -
11.5
Over / Under
+400-667 +400-625 -
12
Over / Under
+502-909 +500-909 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +525-909 -
13
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.