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Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals odds

Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
6 – 3
Final
Marlins -1.5 covered
Under 10
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, September 1
7:40 PM ET
Kauffman Stadium
Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
MIA 48%KC 52%
Fair moneyline
+110 / -110
MIA / KC, no vig
Market win %
50% / 50%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +2 pts
SharpModels 52% · market 50% (no vig)
Ratings
1491 / 1462
MIA / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Marlins
Moneyline
-105
bet365
-114 -110 -105
Royals
Moneyline
-106
DraftKings
-106 -110 -115
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1+110 -1.5+140 -1.5+160
Royals
Spread
+1.5-169
BetMGM
+1-145 +1.5-169 +1.5-189
Over
Total
10+100
bet365
10-105 10-102 10+100
Under
Total
10-115
DraftKings
10-115 10-118 10-120
Margin
Moneyline
2.6% 4.5%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-4.5
MIA +4.5
+527-1000 - -
-4
MIA +4
+501-909 - -
-3.5
MIA +3.5
+375-588 +375-588 -
-3
MIA +3
+348-556 - -
-2.5
MIA +2.5
+260-370 +270-385 -
-2
MIA +2
+232-323 - -
-1.5
MIA +1.5
+174-238 +170-227 -
-1
MIA +1
+134-175 - -
+1
MIA -1
-145+110 - -
+1.5
MIA -1.5
-172+141 -169+140 -189+160
+2
MIA -2
-238+177 - -
+2.5
MIA -2.5
-286+204 -278+200 -
+3
MIA -3
-400+270 - -
+3.5
MIA -3.5
-435+296 -400+280 -
+4
MIA -4
-667+396 - -
+4.5
MIA -4.5
-714+423 - -
+5
MIA -5
-1111+569 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: MIA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
5
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -769+450 -
6
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
6.5
Over / Under
-476+313 -500+333 -
7
Over / Under
-417+279 -455+300 -
7.5
Over / Under
-270+198 -286+210 -
8
Over / Under
-244+180 -250+185 -
8.5
Over / Under
-196+147 -200+150 -
9
Over / Under
-164+124 -167+125 -
9.5
Over / Under
-127-103 -125-102 -
10
Over / Under
-105-115 -102-118 +100-120
10.5
Over / Under
+105-139 +110-143 -
11
Over / Under
+132-175 +145-189 -
11.5
Over / Under
+155-208 +170-227 -
12
Over / Under
+183-250 +200-278 -
12.5
Over / Under
+199-270 +220-303 -
13
Over / Under
+255-370 +290-417 -
13.5
Over / Under
+278-400 +310-455 -
14
Over / Under
+342-526 +375-588 -
14.5
Over / Under
+361-556 +400-625 -
15
Over / Under
- +525-909 -
15.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.