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San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds

San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
3 – 7
Final
Padres -1.5 did not cover
Over 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 2
12:40 PM ET
Great American Ball Park
Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
SD 52%CIN 48%
Fair moneyline
-108 / +108
SD / CIN, no vig
Market win %
60% / 40%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +8 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1552 / 1485
SD / CIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Padres
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-169 -169 -164
Reds
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+138 +140 +140
Padres
Spread
-1.5+100
bet365
-1.5-101 -1.5-102 -1.5+100
Reds
Spread
+1.5-118
BetMGM
+1.5-119 +1.5-118 +1.5-120
Over
Total
9.5-102
BetMGM
9.5-105 9.5-102 9.5-105
Under
Total
9.5-115
bet365
9.5-115 9.5-118 9.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.6%4.3%3.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CIN line
-3.5
SD +3.5
+579-1111 - -
-3
SD +3
+556-1111 - -
-2.5
SD +2.5
+394-667 +375-588 -
-2
SD +2
+363-588 - -
-1.5
SD +1.5
+260-370 +250-357 -
-1
SD +1
+211-294 - -
+1
SD -1
+106-139 - -
+1.5
SD -1.5
-119-101 -118-102 -120+100
+2
SD -2
-159+121 - -
+2.5
SD -2.5
-192+144 -200+154 -
+3
SD -3
-250+185 - -
+3.5
SD -3.5
-294+210 -333+240 -
+4
SD -4
-400+275 - -
+4.5
SD -4.5
-455+301 -500+325 -
+5
SD -5
-667+396 - -
+5.5
SD -5.5
-714+421 - -
+6
SD -6
-1111+559 - -
+6.5
SD -6.5
-1250+583 - -

Top number: CIN at that line; bottom: SD at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -3333+950 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
5
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -667+400 -
6
Over / Under
- -588+375 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -417+290 -
7
Over / Under
- -357+250 -
7.5
Over / Under
- -250+185 -
8
Over / Under
- -222+165 -
8.5
Over / Under
- -169+130 -
9
Over / Under
- -139+105 -
9.5
Over / Under
-105-115 -102-118 -105-115
10
Over / Under
- +110-143 -
10.5
Over / Under
- +130-169 -
11
Over / Under
- +170-227 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +200-278 -
12
Over / Under
- +240-333 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +250-357 -
13
Over / Under
- +325-476 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +350-526 -
14
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +450-769 -
15
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.