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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds

Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
1 – 2
Final
Brewers -1.5 did not cover
Under 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, September 3
7:15 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
MIL 50%CHC 50%
Fair moneyline
-102 / +102
MIL / CHC, no vig
Market win %
53% / 47%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +2 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1604 / 1530
MIL / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Brewers
Moneyline
-122
DraftKings
-122 -125 -125
Cubs
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
+100 +105 +105
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+135
BetMGM
-1+104 -1.5+135 -1.5+135
Cubs
Spread
+1.5-159
bet365
+1-135 +1.5-167 +1.5-159
Over
Total
8.5-102
BetMGM
8.5-106 8.5-102 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
DraftKings
8.5-115 8.5-118 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.7%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-4
MIL +4
+620-1429 - -
-3.5
MIL +3.5
+455-769 +450-769 -
-3
MIL +3
+427-714 - -
-2.5
MIL +2.5
+312-476 +320-476 -
-2
MIL +2
+280-417 - -
-1.5
MIL +1.5
+202-278 +200-278 -
-1
MIL +1
+153-204 - -
+1
MIL -1
-135+104 - -
+1.5
MIL -1.5
-167+135 -167+135 -159+135
+2
MIL -2
-233+172 - -
+2.5
MIL -2.5
-270+199 -286+210 -
+3
MIL -3
-385+266 - -
+3.5
MIL -3.5
-435+294 -455+300 -
+4
MIL -4
-667+401 - -
+4.5
MIL -4.5
-714+430 - -
+5
MIL -5
-1250+584 - -
+5.5
MIL -5.5
-1250+610 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: MIL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-714+427 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-385+267 -400+280 -
6
Over / Under
-345+243 -357+250 -
6.5
Over / Under
-256+187 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-208+157 -222+165 -
7.5
Over / Under
-152+115 -154+118 -
8
Over / Under
-132+100 -128+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-106-115 -102-118 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+116-152 +120-154 -
9.5
Over / Under
+139-185 +145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+167-227 +180-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+184-250 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+241-345 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+267-385 +290-417 -
12
Over / Under
+324-500 +360-556 -
12.5
Over / Under
+341-526 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+454-769 +500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +525-909 -
14
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.