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New York Yankees at San Diego Padres odds

New York
Yankees
SM rating 1556 · #3
2 – 3
Final
Yankees -1.5 did not cover
Under 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, September 4
9:40 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
NYY 49%SD 51%
Fair moneyline
+103 / -103
NYY / SD, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SD +2 pts
SharpModels 51% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1556 / 1552
NYY / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Yankees
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
-115 -115 -115
Padres
Moneyline
-105
BetMGM
-105 -105 -105
Yankees
Spread
-1.5+150
BetMGM
-1+115 -1.5+150 -1.5+150
Padres
Spread
+1.5-179
bet365
+1-152 +1.5-182 +1.5-179
Over
Total
7.5+105
BetMGM
7.5+101 7.5+105 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-120
bet365
7.5-133 7.5-125 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
4.5% 4.5%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-4.5
NYY +4.5
+710-1667 - -
-4
NYY +4
+680-1667 - -
-3.5
NYY +3.5
+486-909 +475-833 -
-3
NYY +3
+454-769 - -
-2.5
NYY +2.5
+323-500 +320-476 -
-2
NYY +2
+288-417 - -
-1.5
NYY +1.5
+201-278 +190-250 -
-1
NYY +1
+149-196 - -
+1
NYY -1
-152+115 - -
+1.5
NYY -1.5
-185+152 -182+150 -179+150
+2
NYY -2
-278+202 - -
+2.5
NYY -2.5
-333+233 -333+240 -
+3
NYY -3
-526+340 - -
+3.5
NYY -3.5
-588+377 -556+360 -
+4
NYY -4
-1000+539 - -
+4.5
NYY -4.5
-1111+571 - -
+5
NYY -5
-2500+840 - -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: NYY at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1750 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
3.5
Over / Under
-1000+529 -1000+525 -
4
Over / Under
-909+497 -909+500 -
4.5
Over / Under
-556+348 -526+350 -
5
Over / Under
-455+301 -455+310 -
5.5
Over / Under
-256+188 -278+200 -
6
Over / Under
-222+165 -238+175 -
6.5
Over / Under
-172+130 -175+135 -
7
Over / Under
-128+105 -139+105 -
7.5
Over / Under
+101-133 +105-125 +100-120
8
Over / Under
+121-159 +120-154 -
8.5
Over / Under
+138-185 +140-182 -
9
Over / Under
+187-256 +185-250 -
9.5
Over / Under
+217-303 +220-303 -
10
Over / Under
+269-385 +270-385 -
10.5
Over / Under
+289-435 +290-417 -
11
Over / Under
+403-667 +400-625 -
11.5
Over / Under
+433-714 +425-714 -
12
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13
Over / Under
- +725-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.