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Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Atlanta
Braves
SM rating 1536 · #7
2 – 4
Final
Phillies -1.5 covered
Under 8
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, September 5
6:05 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
ATL 44%PHI 56%
Fair moneyline
+127 / -127
ATL / PHI, no vig
Market win %
40% / 60%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ATL +4 pts
SharpModels 44% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1536 / 1544
ATL / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Braves
Moneyline
+140
BetMGM
+137 +140 +135
Phillies
Moneyline
-159
bet365
-167 -169 -159
Braves
Spread
+1-111
DraftKings
+1-111 +1.5-154 +1.5-154
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+130
bet365
-1-119 -1.5+125 -1.5+130
Over
Total
8-115
bet365
8-116 8-115 8-115
Under
Total
8-104
DraftKings
8-104 8-105 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.0% 4.5%4.3%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-5.5
ATL +5.5
+590-1250 +600-1250 -
-5
ATL +5
+564-1111 - -
-4.5
ATL +4.5
+416-714 +425-714 -
-4
ATL +4
+388-625 - -
-3.5
ATL +3.5
+286-417 +300-455 -
-3
ATL +3
+259-370 - -
-2.5
ATL +2.5
+194-263 +200-278 -
-2
ATL +2
+166-222 - -
-1.5
ATL +1.5
+130-159 +125-154 +130-154
-1
ATL +1
-119-111 - -
+1
ATL -1
-244+181 - -
+1.5
ATL -1.5
-294+213 -294+210 -
+2
ATL -2
-435+296 - -
+2.5
ATL -2.5
-500+328 - -
+3
ATL -3
-769+453 - -
+3.5
ATL -3.5
-833+483 - -
+4
ATL -4
-1667+670 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: ATL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4.5
Over / Under
-769+456 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-667+410 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-370+258 -385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-333+233 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-244+179 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-196+148 -208+155 -
7.5
Over / Under
-143+108 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-116-104 -115-105 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
-101-128 +100-128 -
9
Over / Under
+126-167 +135-175 -
9.5
Over / Under
+150-200 +160-208 -
10
Over / Under
+180-244 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+198-270 +210-294 -
11
Over / Under
+261-370 +280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+287-417 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+354-556 +400-625 -
12.5
Over / Under
+372-588 +400-667 -
13
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.