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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds

Washington
Nationals
SM rating 1462 · #25
2 – 3
Final
Padres -1.5 did not cover
Under 8
vs the most common closing line
Monday, September 7
5:10 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #4
WSH 37%SD 63%
Fair moneyline
+170 / -170
WSH / SD, no vig
Market win %
36% / 64%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
WSH +1 pts
SharpModels 37% · market 36% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1552
WSH / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Nationals
Moneyline
+170
BetMGM
+164 +170 +165
Padres
Moneyline
-200
bet365
-200 -208 -200
Nationals
Spread
+1.5-125
bet365
+1.5-125 +1.5-125 +1.5-125
Padres
Spread
-1.5+105
bet365
-1.5+103 -1.5+105 -1.5+105
Over
Total
8-115
bet365
8.5-102 8-115 8-115
Under
Total
8.5-119
DraftKings
8.5-119 8-105 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.3%4.4%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-6
WSH +6
+660-1429 - -
-5.5
WSH +5.5
+486-909 - -
-5
WSH +5
+460-833 - -
-4.5
WSH +4.5
+341-526 - -
-4
WSH +4
+314-476 - -
-3.5
WSH +3.5
+235-333 - -
-3
WSH +3
+209-294 - -
-2.5
WSH +2.5
+160-217 +165-222 -
-2
WSH +2
+134-179 - -
-1.5
WSH +1.5
+103-125 +105-125 +105-125
-1
WSH +1
-152+116 - -
+1
WSH -1
-323+230 - -
+1.5
WSH -1.5
-385+265 -357+250 -
+2
WSH -2
-588+368 - -
+2.5
WSH -2.5
-667+399 -625+400 -
+3
WSH -3
-1111+567 - -
+3.5
WSH -3.5
-1250+598 - -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: WSH at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4.5
Over / Under
-769+447 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-667+402 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-370+255 -385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-323+230 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-238+177 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-196+147 -208+155 -
7.5
Over / Under
-145+110 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-125-105 -115-105 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
-102-119 +100-128 -
9
Over / Under
+119-156 +135-175 -
9.5
Over / Under
+141-189 +160-208 -
10
Over / Under
+172-233 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+190-263 +220-303 -
11
Over / Under
+248-357 +290-417 -
11.5
Over / Under
+274-400 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+337-526 +400-625 -
12.5
Over / Under
+356-556 +400-667 -
13
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.