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Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
6 – 5
Final
Phillies -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, September 8
6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
HOU 41%PHI 59%
Fair moneyline
+143 / -143
HOU / PHI, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +3 pts
SharpModels 59% · market 56% (no vig)
Ratings
1506 / 1544
HOU / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Astros
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+112 +115 +120
Phillies
Moneyline
-135
DraftKings
-135 -139 -141
Astros
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1-133 +1.5-169 +1.5-164
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+140
bet365
-1+101 -1.5+140 -1.5+140
Over
Total
8.5-115
bet365
8.5-120 8.5-118 8.5-115
Under
Total
8.5+100
DraftKings
8.5+100 8.5-102 8.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.4%4.5%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-5
HOU +5
+593-1250 - -
-4.5
HOU +4.5
+445-769 - -
-4
HOU +4
+419-714 - -
-3.5
HOU +3.5
+314-476 +290-417 -
-3
HOU +3
+285-417 - -
-2.5
HOU +2.5
+211-294 +200-278 -
-2
HOU +2
+184-250 - -
-1.5
HOU +1.5
+148-182 +140-169 +140-164
-1
HOU +1
+101-133 - -
+1
HOU -1
-192+146 - -
+1.5
HOU -1.5
-238+175 -238+180 -
+2
HOU -2
-333+238 - -
+2.5
HOU -2.5
-385+268 -385+270 -
+3
HOU -3
-588+373 - -
+3.5
HOU -3.5
-667+404 -667+400 -
+4
HOU -4
-1111+564 - -
+4.5
HOU -4.5
-1250+593 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: HOU at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1500 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5.5
Over / Under
-455+301 -455+310 -
6
Over / Under
-400+276 -417+290 -
6.5
Over / Under
-294+212 -303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-244+181 -250+185 -
7.5
Over / Under
-172+131 -175+135 -
8
Over / Under
-149+114 -149+115 -
8.5
Over / Under
-120+100 -118-102 -115-105
9
Over / Under
+102-133 +105-139 -
9.5
Over / Under
+125-167 +130-169 -
10
Over / Under
+150-200 +160-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+167-227 +175-238 -
11
Over / Under
+219-303 +240-333 -
11.5
Over / Under
+244-345 +250-357 -
12
Over / Under
+300-455 +320-476 -
12.5
Over / Under
+318-476 +340-500 -
13
Over / Under
+422-714 +450-769 -
13.5
Over / Under
+448-769 +475-833 -
14
Over / Under
- +600-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.