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New York Mets at Miami Marlins odds

New York
Mets
SM rating 1493 · #17
15 – 14
Final
Marlins -1.5 did not cover
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 9
6:40 PM ET
loanDepot park
Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
NYM 47%MIA 53%
Fair moneyline
+113 / -113
NYM / MIA, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NYM +0 pts
SharpModels 47% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1491
NYM / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Mets
Moneyline
+108
DraftKings
+108 +105 +105
Marlins
Moneyline
-125
BetMGM
-132 -125 -125
Mets
Spread
+1-145
DraftKings
+1-145 +1.5-200 +1.5-200
Marlins
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1+110 -1.5+165 -1.5+165
Over
Total
8.5-120
BetMGM
8.5-123 8.5-120 8.5-120
Under
Total
8.5+101
DraftKings
8.5+101 8.5+100 8.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.7%4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-5
NYM +5
+700-1667 - -
-4.5
NYM +4.5
+515-1000 - -
-4
NYM +4
+487-909 - -
-3.5
NYM +3.5
+356-556 +375-588 -
-3
NYM +3
+326-500 - -
-2.5
NYM +2.5
+238-333 +250-357 -
-2
NYM +2
+207-286 - -
-1.5
NYM +1.5
+159-196 +165-200 +165-200
-1
NYM +1
+110-145 - -
+1
NYM -1
-185+141 - -
+1.5
NYM -1.5
-233+171 -208+160 -
+2
NYM -2
-323+229 - -
+2.5
NYM -2.5
-370+257 -357+250 -
+3
NYM -3
-556+354 - -
+3.5
NYM -3.5
-625+384 -588+375 -
+4
NYM -4
-1000+536 - -
+4.5
NYM -4.5
-1111+565 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: NYM at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1550 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
- -909+500 -
5.5
Over / Under
-476+313 -476+320 -
6
Over / Under
-435+288 -417+290 -
6.5
Over / Under
-312+221 -303+220 -
7
Over / Under
-256+188 -250+190 -
7.5
Over / Under
-179+136 -182+140 -
8
Over / Under
-156+118 -154+118 -
8.5
Over / Under
-123+101 -120+100 -120+100
9
Over / Under
+100-130 +105-139 -
9.5
Over / Under
+122-161 +130-169 -
10
Over / Under
+146-192 +155-208 -
10.5
Over / Under
+162-217 +175-238 -
11
Over / Under
+215-303 +225-303 -
11.5
Over / Under
+243-345 +250-357 -
12
Over / Under
+295-435 +310-455 -
12.5
Over / Under
+313-476 +333-500 -
13
Over / Under
+425-714 +425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+452-769 +475-833 -
14
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.