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Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds

Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
5 – 2
Final
Guardians -1.5 covered
Under 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, September 11
8:10 PM ET
Target Field
Minnesota
Twins
SM rating 1468 · #23
CLE 51%MIN 49%
Fair moneyline
-104 / +104
CLE / MIN, no vig
Market win %
52% / 48%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIN +1 pts
SharpModels 49% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1516 / 1468
CLE / MIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Guardians
Moneyline
-118
BetMGM
-119 -118 -120
Twins
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-101 -102 +100
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+145
bet365
-1+106 -1.5+140 -1.5+145
Twins
Spread
+1.5-169
BetMGM
+1-139 +1.5-169 +1.5-169
Over
Total
7.5-110
bet365
7.5-115 7.5-115 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-105
BetMGM
7.5-105 7.5-105 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.4%4.4%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIN line
-4
CLE +4
+670-1429 - -
-3.5
CLE +3.5
+476-833 +475-833 -
-3
CLE +3
+444-769 - -
-2.5
CLE +2.5
+315-476 +320-476 -
-2
CLE +2
+282-417 - -
-1.5
CLE +1.5
+201-278 +200-278 -
-1
CLE +1
+151-200 - -
+1
CLE -1
-139+106 - -
+1.5
CLE -1.5
-169+139 -169+140 -169+145
+2
CLE -2
-244+180 - -
+2.5
CLE -2.5
-294+210 -294+210 -
+3
CLE -3
-417+286 - -
+3.5
CLE -3.5
-476+315 -476+320 -
+4
CLE -4
-714+428 - -
+4.5
CLE -4.5
-833+456 - -
+5
CLE -5
-1429+630 - -
+5.5
CLE -5.5
-1429+660 - -

Top number: MIN at that line; bottom: CLE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1900 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1250+600 -
4
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
4.5
Over / Under
-588+370 -625+400 -
5
Over / Under
-500+325 -556+360 -
5.5
Over / Under
-286+208 -333+240 -
6
Over / Under
-256+186 -278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-196+149 -200+154 -
7
Over / Under
-159+121 -161+125 -
7.5
Over / Under
-115-105 -115-105 -110-110
8
Over / Under
+100-132 +105-139 -
8.5
Over / Under
+116-152 +120-154 -
9
Over / Under
+153-204 +165-222 -
9.5
Over / Under
+180-244 +185-250 -
10
Over / Under
+221-312 +240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+241-345 +250-357 -
11
Over / Under
+324-500 +340-526 -
11.5
Over / Under
+352-556 +375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+440-769 +450-769 -
12.5
Over / Under
+460-833 +475-833 -
13
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.