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Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs odds

Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
3 – 4
Final
Cubs -1.5 did not cover
Under 9.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, September 12
2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
PIT 41%CHC 59%
Fair moneyline
+144 / -144
PIT / CHC, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +5 pts
SharpModels 59% · market 54% (no vig)
Ratings
1493 / 1530
PIT / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Pirates
Moneyline
+109
DraftKings
+109 +105 +105
Cubs
Moneyline
-125
bet365
-133 -128 -125
Pirates
Spread
+1.5-179
bet365
+1-139 +1.5-182 +1.5-179
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+150
BetMGM
-1+106 -1.5+150 -1.5+150
Over
Total
9.5-110
BetMGM
9.5-112 9.5-110 9.5-110
Under
Total
9.5-109
DraftKings
9.5-109 9.5-110 9.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.3% 4.7%4.7%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-5
PIT +5
+564-1111 - -
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+423-714 - -
-4
PIT +4
+399-667 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+307-455 +310-455 -
-3
PIT +3
+282-417 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+215-303 +210-294 -
-2
PIT +2
+189-256 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+151-185 +150-182 +150-179
-1
PIT +1
+106-139 - -
+1
PIT -1
-182+136 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-217+161 -208+160 -
+2
PIT -2
-286+209 - -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-333+233 -333+240 -
+3
PIT -3
-455+307 - -
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-500+332 -526+340 -
+4
PIT -4
-769+441 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-833+466 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
4
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
5
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -769+450 -
6
Over / Under
- -714+425 -
6.5
Over / Under
- -476+320 -
7
Over / Under
- -400+280 -
7.5
Over / Under
- -278+200 -
8
Over / Under
- -238+175 -
8.5
Over / Under
- -179+135 -
9
Over / Under
- -149+115 -
9.5
Over / Under
-112-109 -110-110 -110-110
10
Over / Under
- +105-139 -
10.5
Over / Under
- +120-154 -
11
Over / Under
- +155-208 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +180-238 -
12
Over / Under
- +210-294 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +240-333 -
13
Over / Under
- +300-455 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +333-500 -
14
Over / Under
- +400-625 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +425-714 -
15
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.