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Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
5 – 1
Final
Brewers -1.5 covered
Under 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, September 15
6:40 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
MIL 57%PIT 43%
Fair moneyline
-130 / +130
MIL / PIT, no vig
Market win %
66% / 34%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PIT +9 pts
SharpModels 43% · market 34% (no vig)
Ratings
1604 / 1493
MIL / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Brewers
Moneyline
-217
DraftKings
-217 -222 -222
Pirates
Moneyline
+180
bet365
+177 +180 +180
Brewers
Spread
-2-102
DraftKings
-2-102 -1.5-125 -1.5-125
Pirates
Spread
+1.5+105
bet365
+2-128 +1.5+105 +1.5+105
Over
Total
7.5-101
DraftKings
7.5-101 7.5-102 7.5-105
Under
Total
7.5-115
bet365
7.5-119 7.5-118 7.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.4%4.5%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-2.5
MIL +2.5
+591-1250 +525-1000 -
-2
MIL +2
+555-1111 - -
-1.5
MIL +1.5
+372-588 +350-526 -
-1
MIL +1
+307-455 - -
+1
MIL -1
+138-182 - -
+1.5
MIL -1.5
+104-127 +105-125 +105-125
+2
MIL -2
-128-102 - -
+2.5
MIL -2.5
-161+123 -169+130 -
+3
MIL -3
-217+162 - -
+3.5
MIL -3.5
-256+189 -303+220 -
+4
MIL -4
-357+250 - -
+4.5
MIL -4.5
-400+277 -476+320 -
+5
MIL -5
-588+370 - -
+5.5
MIL -5.5
-667+397 -769+450 -
+6
MIL -6
-1000+529 - -
+6.5
MIL -6.5
-1111+554 - -
+7
MIL -7
-2000+740 - -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: MIL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1800 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
3
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
4
Over / Under
-833+460 -909+525 -
4.5
Over / Under
-500+331 -588+375 -
5
Over / Under
-417+287 -476+325 -
5.5
Over / Under
-256+187 -286+210 -
6
Over / Under
-222+164 -250+185 -
6.5
Over / Under
-172+130 -182+140 -
7
Over / Under
-137+105 -143+110 -
7.5
Over / Under
-101-119 -102-118 -105-115
8
Over / Under
+114-149 +115-149 -
8.5
Over / Under
+131-172 +135-175 -
9
Over / Under
+171-233 +180-238 -
9.5
Over / Under
+197-270 +210-286 -
10
Over / Under
+243-345 +250-357 -
10.5
Over / Under
+262-385 +275-400 -
11
Over / Under
+350-556 +360-556 -
11.5
Over / Under
+377-588 +400-625 -
12
Over / Under
+469-833 +500-909 -
12.5
Over / Under
+467-833 +525-909 -
13
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.