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Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros odds

Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
5 – 2
Final
Astros -1.5 did not cover
Under 9
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 16
8:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
KC 41%HOU 59%
Fair moneyline
+142 / -142
KC / HOU, no vig
Market win %
40% / 60%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +1 pts
SharpModels 41% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1506
KC / HOU, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Royals
Moneyline
+141
DraftKings
+141 +140 +140
Astros
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-172 -169 -164
Royals
Spread
+1-108
DraftKings
+1-108 +1.5-149 +1.5-154
Astros
Spread
-1.5+130
bet365
-1-122 -1.5+125 -1.5+130
Over
Total
9-105
DraftKings
9-105 8.5-128 9-105
Under
Total
9-115
bet365
9-116 8.5+100 9-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.5%4.3%3.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

HOU line
-5.5
KC +5.5
+550-1111 +575-1111 -
-5
KC +5
+523-1000 - -
-4.5
KC +4.5
+386-625 +400-667 -
-4
KC +4
+360-556 - -
-3.5
KC +3.5
+271-400 +280-400 -
-3
KC +3
+245-345 - -
-2.5
KC +2.5
+186-256 +185-250 -
-2
KC +2
+160-217 - -
-1.5
KC +1.5
+128-156 +125-149 +130-154
-1
KC +1
-122-108 - -
+1
KC -1
-244+179 - -
+1.5
KC -1.5
-286+207 -294+210 -
+2
KC -2
-417+282 - -
+2.5
KC -2.5
-476+311 - -
+3
KC -3
-714+425 - -
+3.5
KC -3.5
-769+454 - -
+4
KC -4
-1250+620 - -

Top number: HOU at that line; bottom: KC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
4
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
4.5
Over / Under
- -1000+550 -
5
Over / Under
- -909+525 -
5.5
Over / Under
-476+317 -500+325 -
6
Over / Under
-435+294 -455+300 -
6.5
Over / Under
-323+227 -333+240 -
7
Over / Under
-270+196 -278+200 -
7.5
Over / Under
-189+143 -189+145 -
8
Over / Under
-167+125 -161+125 -
8.5
Over / Under
-137+104 -128+100 -
9
Over / Under
-105-116 +105-125 -105-115
9.5
Over / Under
+113-147 +125-161 -
10
Over / Under
+133-175 +150-200 -
10.5
Over / Under
+149-196 +170-227 -
11
Over / Under
+194-263 +220-303 -
11.5
Over / Under
+219-303 +240-333 -
12
Over / Under
+266-385 +300-455 -
12.5
Over / Under
+284-417 +320-476 -
13
Over / Under
+374-588 +425-714 -
13.5
Over / Under
+399-667 +450-769 -
14
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
14.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.