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Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates odds

Kansas City
Royals
SM rating 1462 · #26
5 – 8
Final
Pirates -1.5 covered
Over 8.5
vs the most common closing line
Friday, September 18
6:40 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
SM rating 1493 · #16
KC 44%PIT 56%
Fair moneyline
+127 / -127
KC / PIT, no vig
Market win %
37% / 63%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +7 pts
SharpModels 44% · market 37% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1493
KC / PIT, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Royals
Moneyline
+161
DraftKings
+161 +154 +155
Pirates
Moneyline
-185
bet365
-200 -189 -185
Royals
Spread
+1.5-133
DraftKings
+1.5-133 +1.5-133 +1.5-135
Pirates
Spread
-1.5+115
bet365
-1.5+109 -1.5+110 -1.5+115
Over
Total
8.5-104
DraftKings
8.5-104 8.5-105 8.5-105
Under
Total
8.5-115
BetMGM
8.5-116 8.5-115 8.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.7%4.6%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PIT line
-6
KC +6
+630-1429 - -
-5.5
KC +5.5
+475-833 +525-909 -
-5
KC +5
+449-769 - -
-4.5
KC +4.5
+337-526 +375-588 -
-4
KC +4
+310-476 - -
-3.5
KC +3.5
+232-323 +270-385 -
-3
KC +3
+207-286 - -
-2.5
KC +2.5
+159-213 +170-227 -
-2
KC +2
+135-179 - -
-1.5
KC +1.5
+109-133 +110-133 +115-135
-1
KC +1
-145+110 - -
+1
KC -1
-294+210 - -
+1.5
KC -1.5
-345+242 -333+240 -
+2
KC -2
-526+342 - -
+2.5
KC -2.5
-588+375 -556+360 -
+3
KC -3
-1000+517 - -
+3.5
KC -3.5
-1000+546 - -

Top number: PIT at that line; bottom: KC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
4
Over / Under
- -1667+700 -
4.5
Over / Under
-769+449 -909+500 -
5
Over / Under
-667+405 -769+450 -
5.5
Over / Under
-370+259 -400+280 -
6
Over / Under
-333+235 -385+270 -
6.5
Over / Under
-250+183 -278+200 -
7
Over / Under
-204+154 -227+170 -
7.5
Over / Under
-149+114 -154+120 -
8
Over / Under
-128-102 -128+100 -
8.5
Over / Under
-104-116 -105-115 -105-115
9
Over / Under
+117-154 +120-154 -
9.5
Over / Under
+140-185 +145-189 -
10
Over / Under
+167-222 +180-238 -
10.5
Over / Under
+183-250 +200-278 -
11
Over / Under
+240-345 +270-385 -
11.5
Over / Under
+266-385 +290-417 -
12
Over / Under
+324-500 +360-556 -
12.5
Over / Under
+342-526 +375-588 -
13
Over / Under
+450-769 +500-909 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +525-1000 -
14
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.