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Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox odds

Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
3 – 2
Final
Red Sox -1.5 did not cover
Under 6
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, September 22
6:45 PM ET
Fenway Park
Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
CLE 44%BOS 56%
Fair moneyline
+129 / -129
CLE / BOS, no vig
Market win %
47% / 53%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BOS +4 pts
SharpModels 56% · market 53% (no vig)
Ratings
1516 / 1530
CLE / BOS, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Guardians
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
+104 +105 +100
Red Sox
Moneyline
-120
bet365
-127 -125 -120
Guardians
Spread
+1.5-208
BetMGM
+1-161 +1.5-208 +1.5-227
Red Sox
Spread
-1.5+185
bet365
-1+123 -1.5+170 -1.5+185
Over
Total
6-115
bet365
6-116 6-120 6-115
Under
Total
6+100
BetMGM
6-103 6+100 6-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.7%4.2%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BOS line
-5
CLE +5
+970-3333 - -
-4.5
CLE +4.5
+680-1667 - -
-4
CLE +4
+650-1429 - -
-3.5
CLE +3.5
+450-769 +400-667 -
-3
CLE +3
+417-714 - -
-2.5
CLE +2.5
+292-435 +270-385 -
-2
CLE +2
+254-370 - -
-1.5
CLE +1.5
+183-227 +170-208 +185-227
-1
CLE +1
+123-161 - -
+1
CLE -1
-196+147 - -
+1.5
CLE -1.5
-256+187 -238+180 -
+2
CLE -2
-400+274 - -
+2.5
CLE -2.5
-476+313 -455+300 -
+3
CLE -3
-833+468 - -
+3.5
CLE -3.5
-909+506 -833+475 -
+4
CLE -4
-2000+740 - -
+4.5
CLE -4.5
-2000+770 - -

Top number: BOS at that line; bottom: CLE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
2
Over / Under
- -5000+1050 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -1667+725 -
3
Over / Under
-1250+610 -1429+650 -
3.5
Over / Under
-455+307 -526+340 -
4
Over / Under
-400+276 -455+310 -
4.5
Over / Under
-278+201 -303+220 -
5
Over / Under
-217+162 -238+180 -
5.5
Over / Under
-145+110 -154+118 -
6
Over / Under
-116-103 -120+100 -115-105
6.5
Over / Under
+101-133 +100-128 -
7
Over / Under
+137-182 +140-182 -
7.5
Over / Under
+168-227 +170-227 -
8
Over / Under
+209-294 +210-294 -
8.5
Over / Under
+230-323 +240-333 -
9
Over / Under
+326-500 +325-500 -
9.5
Over / Under
+360-556 +360-556 -
10
Over / Under
+455-769 +450-769 -
10.5
Over / Under
+475-833 +475-833 -
11
Over / Under
+660-1429 +650-1429 -
11.5
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.