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Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs odds

Miami
Marlins
SM rating 1491 · #19
8 – 2
Final
Cubs -1.5 did not cover
Over 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, September 22
7:40 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
MIA 40%CHC 60%
Fair moneyline
+151 / -151
MIA / CHC, no vig
Market win %
34% / 66%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +6 pts
SharpModels 40% · market 34% (no vig)
Ratings
1491 / 1530
MIA / CHC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Marlins
Moneyline
+181
DraftKings
+181 +180 +175
Cubs
Moneyline
-208
bet365
-227 -222 -208
Marlins
Spread
+1.5-130
bet365
+1.5-132 +1.5-133 +1.5-130
Cubs
Spread
-1.5+110
BetMGM
-1.5+109 -1.5+110 -1.5+110
Over
Total
6.5-115
bet365
6.5-116 6.5-120 6.5-115
Under
Total
6.5+100
BetMGM
6.5-105 6.5+100 6.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.0% 4.8%4.5%3.7%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CHC line
-6
MIA +6
+830-2500 - -
-5.5
MIA +5.5
+597-1250 - -
-5
MIA +5
+568-1111 - -
-4.5
MIA +4.5
+403-667 +400-667 -
-4
MIA +4
+373-588 - -
-3.5
MIA +3.5
+269-385 +280-400 -
-3
MIA +3
+238-333 - -
-2.5
MIA +2.5
+173-233 +175-238 -
-2
MIA +2
+143-189 - -
-1.5
MIA +1.5
+109-132 +110-133 +110-130
-1
MIA +1
-154+117 - -
+1
MIA -1
-370+256 - -
+1.5
MIA -1.5
-435+298 -417+290 -
+2
MIA -2
-769+446 - -
+2.5
MIA -2.5
-833+483 -833+475 -
+3
MIA -3
-1667+710 - -
+3.5
MIA -3.5
-2000+740 - -

Top number: CHC at that line; bottom: MIA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
3
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
3.5
Over / Under
-588+372 -625+400 -
4
Over / Under
-526+340 -556+360 -
4.5
Over / Under
-345+242 -385+270 -
5
Over / Under
-278+200 -303+220 -
5.5
Over / Under
-175+133 -189+145 -
6
Over / Under
-147+113 -161+125 -
6.5
Over / Under
-116-105 -120+100 -115-105
7
Over / Under
+112-147 +105-139 -
7.5
Over / Under
+141-185 +135-179 -
8
Over / Under
+174-238 +170-227 -
8.5
Over / Under
+194-263 +185-250 -
9
Over / Under
+267-385 +250-357 -
9.5
Over / Under
+298-455 +290-417 -
10
Over / Under
+377-588 +360-556 -
10.5
Over / Under
+398-667 +375-588 -
11
Over / Under
+546-1000 +525-909 -
11.5
Over / Under
+573-1111 +550-1000 -
12
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.