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Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies odds

Milwaukee
Brewers
SM rating 1604 · #1
4 – 1
Final
Brewers -1.5 covered
Under 7
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 23
6:40 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
MIL 50%PHI 50%
Fair moneyline
-100 / +100
MIL / PHI, no vig
Market win %
54% / 46%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +4 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1604 / 1544
MIL / PHI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Brewers
Moneyline
-127
DraftKings
-127 -128 -130
Phillies
Moneyline
+110
bet365
+104 +105 +110
Brewers
Spread
-1.5+140
bet365
-1+106 -1.5+140 -1.5+140
Phillies
Spread
+1.5-164
bet365
+1-139 +1.5-169 +1.5-164
Over
Total
7.5+110
bet365
7-112 7-120 7.5+110
Under
Total
7+100
BetMGM
7-108 7+100 7.5-130
Margin
Moneyline
3.4% 4.7%4.7%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

PHI line
-4
MIL +4
+800-2500 - -
-3.5
MIL +3.5
+567-1111 +525-909 -
-3
MIL +3
+534-1000 - -
-2.5
MIL +2.5
+370-588 +350-526 -
-2
MIL +2
+331-500 - -
-1.5
MIL +1.5
+222-312 +210-294 -
-1
MIL +1
+165-222 - -
+1
MIL -1
-139+106 - -
+1.5
MIL -1.5
-169+139 -169+140 -164+140
+2
MIL -2
-250+185 - -
+2.5
MIL -2.5
-303+216 -303+220 -
+3
MIL -3
-455+301 - -
+3.5
MIL -3.5
-500+333 -476+320 -
+4
MIL -4
-833+464 - -
+4.5
MIL -4.5
-909+494 - -
+5
MIL -5
-1667+690 - -
+5.5
MIL -5.5
-1667+720 - -

Top number: PHI at that line; bottom: MIL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1700 -
3.5
Over / Under
-769+453 -909+500 -
4
Over / Under
-714+422 -833+475 -
4.5
Over / Under
-455+301 -500+340 -
5
Over / Under
-370+257 -417+290 -
5.5
Over / Under
-227+167 -250+185 -
6
Over / Under
-192+145 -222+165 -
6.5
Over / Under
-152+115 -169+130 -
7
Over / Under
-112-108 -120+100 -
7.5
Over / Under
+111-147 +105-139 +110-130
8
Over / Under
+135-179 +135-175 -
8.5
Over / Under
+153-204 +155-208 -
9
Over / Under
+206-286 +210-286 -
9.5
Over / Under
+236-333 +240-333 -
10
Over / Under
+297-435 +290-417 -
10.5
Over / Under
+318-476 +320-476 -
11
Over / Under
+442-769 +425-714 -
11.5
Over / Under
+472-833 +450-769 -
12
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +600-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.