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Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays odds

Cincinnati
Reds
SM rating 1485 · #21
5 – 1
Final
Blue Jays -1.5 did not cover
Under 8
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, September 26
3:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre
Toronto
Blue Jays
SM rating 1515 · #12
CIN 43%TOR 57%
Fair moneyline
+134 / -134
CIN / TOR, no vig
Market win %
40% / 60%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +2 pts
SharpModels 43% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1485 / 1515
CIN / TOR, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Reds
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+139 +135 +140
Blue Jays
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-169 -167 -164
Reds
Spread
+1-106
DraftKings
+1-106 +1.5-149 +1.5-149
Blue Jays
Spread
-1.5+125
bet365
-1-123 -1.5+125 -1.5+125
Over
Total
8-115
bet365
8-119 8-115 8-115
Under
Total
8-102
DraftKings
8-102 8-105 8-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.5%4.9%3.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TOR line
-5.5
CIN +5.5
+557-1111 +600-1111 -
-5
CIN +5
+532-1000 - -
-4.5
CIN +4.5
+398-667 +425-714 -
-4
CIN +4
+370-588 - -
-3.5
CIN +3.5
+274-400 +290-417 -
-3
CIN +3
+246-345 - -
-2.5
CIN +2.5
+183-250 +190-250 -
-2
CIN +2
+156-208 - -
-1.5
CIN +1.5
+123-149 +125-149 +125-149
-1
CIN +1
-123-106 - -
+1
CIN -1
-250+183 - -
+1.5
CIN -1.5
-294+214 -250+185 -
+2
CIN -2
-435+292 - -
+2.5
CIN -2.5
-500+322 - -
+3
CIN -3
-769+449 - -
+3.5
CIN -3.5
-833+479 - -
+4
CIN -4
-1429+660 - -

Top number: TOR at that line; bottom: CIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
3
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1429+675 -
4
Over / Under
- -1429+650 -
4.5
Over / Under
-769+441 -769+450 -
5
Over / Under
-667+394 -714+425 -
5.5
Over / Under
-357+247 -385+270 -
6
Over / Under
-312+224 -333+240 -
6.5
Over / Under
-238+177 -250+185 -
7
Over / Under
-196+147 -200+154 -
7.5
Over / Under
-145+110 -143+110 -
8
Over / Under
-119-102 -115-105 -115-105
8.5
Over / Under
-104-125 +100-128 -
9
Over / Under
+123-161 +135-175 -
9.5
Over / Under
+147-196 +160-208 -
10
Over / Under
+177-238 +200-278 -
10.5
Over / Under
+194-263 +220-303 -
11
Over / Under
+254-370 +280-400 -
11.5
Over / Under
+279-417 +310-455 -
12
Over / Under
+344-526 +375-588 -
12.5
Over / Under
+363-588 +400-667 -
13
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
13.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -
14
Over / Under
- +675-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.