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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds

Boston
Red Sox
SM rating 1530 · #8
2 – 9
Final
Yankees -1.5 covered
Over 7
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 30
8:00 PM ET
Yankee Stadium
New York
Yankees
SM rating 1556 · #3
BOS 43%NYY 57%
Fair moneyline
+131 / -131
BOS / NYY, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NYY +1 pts
SharpModels 57% · market 56% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1556
BOS / NYY, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Red Sox
Moneyline
+120
BetMGM
+113 +120 +115
Yankees
Moneyline
-135
bet365
-139 -141 -135
Red Sox
Spread
+1-143
DraftKings
+1-143 +1.5-200 +1.5-200
Yankees
Spread
-1.5+165
BetMGM
-1+109 -1.5+165 -1.5+165
Over
Total
7+105
BetMGM
7+100 7+105 6.5-120
Under
Total
6.5+100
bet365
7-120 7-125 6.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.9%3.8%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NYY line
-5
BOS +5
+810-2500 - -
-4.5
BOS +4.5
+580-1111 - -
-4
BOS +4
+550-1111 - -
-3.5
BOS +3.5
+388-625 +375-588 -
-3
BOS +3
+356-556 - -
-2.5
BOS +2.5
+254-370 +250-357 -
-2
BOS +2
+220-303 - -
-1.5
BOS +1.5
+162-200 +165-200 +165-200
-1
BOS +1
+109-143 - -
+1
BOS -1
-208+155 - -
+1.5
BOS -1.5
-263+190 -278+200 -
+2
BOS -2
-385+269 - -
+2.5
BOS -2.5
-455+303 -476+325 -
+3
BOS -3
-714+433 - -
+3.5
BOS -3.5
-833+466 -909+500 -
+4
BOS -4
-1429+660 - -
+4.5
BOS -4.5
-1667+690 - -

Top number: NYY at that line; bottom: BOS at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
3
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
3.5
Over / Under
-667+405 -714+425 -
4
Over / Under
-588+375 -625+400 -
4.5
Over / Under
-400+274 -400+280 -
5
Over / Under
-323+230 -333+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
-200+151 -200+154 -
6
Over / Under
-172+130 -169+130 -
6.5
Over / Under
-137+105 -139+105 -120+100
7
Over / Under
+100-120 +105-125 -
7.5
Over / Under
+122-161 +130-169 -
8
Over / Under
+150-200 +165-222 -
8.5
Over / Under
+170-227 +185-250 -
9
Over / Under
+229-323 +250-357 -
9.5
Over / Under
+259-370 +280-400 -
10
Over / Under
+325-500 +360-556 -
10.5
Over / Under
+346-526 +375-588 -
11
Over / Under
+481-833 +525-909 -
11.5
Over / Under
+510-909 +550-1000 -
12
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.