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Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres odds

Chicago
Cubs
SM rating 1530 · #9
1 – 4
Final
Padres -1.5 covered
Under 7
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 30
10:00 PM ET
Petco Park
San Diego
Padres
SM rating 1552 · #5
CHC 44%SD 56%
Fair moneyline
+128 / -128
CHC / SD, no vig
Market win %
43% / 57%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHC +1 pts
SharpModels 44% · market 43% (no vig)
Ratings
1530 / 1552
CHC / SD, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Cubs
Moneyline
+123
DraftKings
+123 +120 +120
Padres
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-149 -143 -141
Cubs
Spread
+1-128
DraftKings
+1-128 +1.5-189 +1.5-189
Padres
Spread
-1.5+160
bet365
-1-103 -1.5+155 -1.5+160
Over
Total
7-115
bet365
7-125 7-120 7-115
Under
Total
7+103
DraftKings
7+103 7+100 7-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.5%4.1%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SD line
-5
CHC +5
+710-1667 - -
-4.5
CHC +4.5
+505-909 - -
-4
CHC +4
+476-833 - -
-3.5
CHC +3.5
+344-526 +340-526 -
-3
CHC +3
+312-476 - -
-2.5
CHC +2.5
+224-312 +225-303 -
-2
CHC +2
+193-263 - -
-1.5
CHC +1.5
+147-179 +155-189 +160-189
-1
CHC +1
-103-128 - -
+1
CHC -1
-227+168 - -
+1.5
CHC -1.5
-278+203 -250+185 -
+2
CHC -2
-435+289 - -
+2.5
CHC -2.5
-500+324 -455+300 -
+3
CHC -3
-833+463 - -
+3.5
CHC -3.5
-909+496 -769+450 -
+4
CHC -4
-1667+710 - -
+4.5
CHC -4.5
-2000+740 - -

Top number: SD at that line; bottom: CHC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+2000 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+2000 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2500+1150 -
3
Over / Under
- -2500+1100 -
3.5
Over / Under
-909+492 -769+525 -
4
Over / Under
-833+460 -714+500 -
4.5
Over / Under
-500+325 -476+350 -
5
Over / Under
-417+280 -400+300 -
5.5
Over / Under
-244+179 -238+195 -
6
Over / Under
-208+157 -208+170 -
6.5
Over / Under
-167+125 -161+135 -
7
Over / Under
-125+103 -120+100 -115-105
7.5
Over / Under
+101-132 +110-133 -
8
Over / Under
+121-161 +140-169 -
8.5
Over / Under
+139-185 +155-189 -
9
Over / Under
+187-256 +220-278 -
9.5
Over / Under
+216-303 +240-303 -
10
Over / Under
+269-385 +300-400 -
10.5
Over / Under
+289-435 +325-417 -
11
Over / Under
+400-667 +450-625 -
11.5
Over / Under
+430-714 +475-667 -
12
Over / Under
- +600-909 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +625-1000 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.