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Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros odds

Chicago
White Sox
SM rating 1466 · #24
7 – 3
Final
Astros -1.5 did not cover
Over 7.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 30
5:00 PM ET
Daikin Park
Houston
Astros
SM rating 1506 · #13
CHW 40%HOU 60%
Fair moneyline
+148 / -148
CHW / HOU, no vig
Market win %
42% / 58%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +2 pts
SharpModels 60% · market 58% (no vig)
Ratings
1466 / 1506
CHW / HOU, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
White Sox
Moneyline
+130
bet365
+128 +125 +130
Astros
Moneyline
-149
BetMGM
-156 -149 -154
White Sox
Spread
+1-123
DraftKings
+1-123 +1.5-175 +1.5-169
Astros
Spread
-1.5+145
BetMGM
-1-108 -1.5+145 -1.5+145
Over
Total
7.5-110
BetMGM
7.5-110 7.5-110 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-110
BetMGM
7.5-111 7.5-110 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.6%4.1%3.9%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

HOU line
-5
CHW +5
+620-1429 - -
-4.5
CHW +4.5
+452-769 - -
-4
CHW +4
+425-714 - -
-3.5
CHW +3.5
+314-476 +333-500 -
-3
CHW +3
+286-417 - -
-2.5
CHW +2.5
+212-294 +220-303 -
-2
CHW +2
+184-250 - -
-1.5
CHW +1.5
+143-175 +145-175 +145-169
-1
CHW +1
-108-123 - -
+1
CHW -1
-227+168 - -
+1.5
CHW -1.5
-270+198 -278+200 -
+2
CHW -2
-400+276 - -
+2.5
CHW -2.5
-455+308 -455+310 -
+3
CHW -3
-714+421 - -
+3.5
CHW -3.5
-769+450 -833+475 -
+4
CHW -4
-1250+610 - -
+4.5
CHW -4.5
-1429+640 - -

Top number: HOU at that line; bottom: CHW at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2
Over / Under
- -10000+2000 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -5000+1150 -
3
Over / Under
- -5000+1100 -
3.5
Over / Under
- -1111+600 -
4
Over / Under
- -1111+575 -
4.5
Over / Under
-556+356 -667+400 -
5
Over / Under
-476+311 -556+360 -
5.5
Over / Under
-270+199 -303+220 -
6
Over / Under
-238+177 -278+200 -
6.5
Over / Under
-189+142 -208+155 -
7
Over / Under
-152+115 -161+125 -
7.5
Over / Under
-110-111 -110-110 -110-110
8
Over / Under
+104-135 +105-139 -
8.5
Over / Under
+119-156 +125-161 -
9
Over / Under
+154-204 +165-222 -
9.5
Over / Under
+180-244 +190-250 -
10
Over / Under
+219-303 +240-333 -
10.5
Over / Under
+237-333 +270-385 -
11
Over / Under
+314-476 +350-526 -
11.5
Over / Under
+340-526 +375-588 -
12
Over / Under
+427-714 +475-833 -
12.5
Over / Under
+447-769 +475-833 -
13
Over / Under
- +650-1429 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.