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Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves odds

Philadelphia
Phillies
SM rating 1544 · #6
4 – 3
Final
Phillies -1.5 did not cover
Push on 7
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 30
2:00 PM ET
Truist Park
Atlanta
Braves
SM rating 1536 · #7
PHI 47%ATL 53%
Fair moneyline
+113 / -113
PHI / ATL, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ATL +4 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1544 / 1536
PHI / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Phillies
Moneyline
-115
DraftKings
-115 -118 -115
Braves
Moneyline
-102
BetMGM
-106 -102 -105
Phillies
Spread
-1.5+155
bet365
-1+115 -1.5+150 -1.5+155
Braves
Spread
+1.5-182
BetMGM
+1-152 +1.5-182 +1.5-185
Over
Total
7-115
bet365
7-119 7-125 7-115
Under
Total
7+105
BetMGM
7-102 7+105 7-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.7%4.4%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ATL line
-4.5
PHI +4.5
+720-1667 - -
-4
PHI +4
+690-1667 - -
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+490-909 +475-833 -
-3
PHI +3
+459-833 - -
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+326-500 +320-476 -
-2
PHI +2
+291-435 - -
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+203-278 +200-278 -
-1
PHI +1
+149-200 - -
+1
PHI -1
-152+115 - -
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-189+153 -182+150 -185+155
+2
PHI -2
-286+204 - -
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-333+238 -303+220 -
+3
PHI -3
-500+331 - -
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-588+363 -500+333 -
+4
PHI -4
-909+509 - -
+4.5
PHI -4.5
-1000+539 - -
+5
PHI -5
-2000+750 - -

Top number: ATL at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1700 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1650 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -3333+1000 -
3
Over / Under
- -3333+950 -
3.5
Over / Under
-833+463 -909+500 -
4
Over / Under
-714+433 -833+475 -
4.5
Over / Under
-476+312 -500+333 -
5
Over / Under
-385+266 -417+290 -
5.5
Over / Under
-227+170 -250+185 -
6
Over / Under
-200+149 -222+165 -
6.5
Over / Under
-159+120 -169+130 -
7
Over / Under
-119-102 -125+105 -115-105
7.5
Over / Under
+105-137 +105-139 -
8
Over / Under
+127-169 +130-169 -
8.5
Over / Under
+146-192 +150-200 -
9
Over / Under
+198-270 +200-278 -
9.5
Over / Under
+229-323 +225-303 -
10
Over / Under
+286-417 +280-400 -
10.5
Over / Under
+306-455 +310-455 -
11
Over / Under
+425-714 +425-714 -
11.5
Over / Under
+455-769 +450-769 -
12
Over / Under
- +550-1000 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +575-1111 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.