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Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians odds

Chicago
White Sox
SM rating 1466 · #24
3 – 0
Final
Guardians -1.5 did not cover
Under 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, October 3
1:00 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
CHW 40%CLE 60%
Fair moneyline
+150 / -150
CHW / CLE, no vig
Market win %
43% / 57%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +3 pts
SharpModels 60% · market 57% (no vig)
Ratings
1466 / 1516
CHW / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
White Sox
Moneyline
+125
BetMGM
+124 +125 +125
Guardians
Moneyline
-149
BetMGM
-149 -149 -149
White Sox
Spread
+1-128
DraftKings
+1-128 +1.5-182 +1.5-185
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+155
bet365
-1-102 -1.5+150 -1.5+155
Over
Total
6.5-123
DraftKings
6.5-123 6.5-125 6.5-125
Under
Total
6.5+105
BetMGM
6.5+102 6.5+105 6.5+105
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.3%4.1%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-5.5
CHW +5.5
+770-2000 - -
-5
CHW +5
+750-2000 - -
-4.5
CHW +4.5
+532-1000 - -
-4
CHW +4
+502-909 - -
-3.5
CHW +3.5
+357-556 +375-588 -
-3
CHW +3
+325-500 - -
-2.5
CHW +2.5
+233-333 +240-333 -
-2
CHW +2
+200-278 - -
-1.5
CHW +1.5
+149-182 +150-182 +155-185
-1
CHW +1
-102-128 - -
+1
CHW -1
-227+170 - -
+1.5
CHW -1.5
-286+206 -286+210 -
+2
CHW -2
-455+299 - -
+2.5
CHW -2.5
-526+336 -500+340 -
+3
CHW -3
-909+487 - -
+3.5
CHW -3.5
-1000+521 -909+500 -
+4
CHW -4
-2000+750 - -
+4.5
CHW -4.5
-2000+780 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: CHW at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1350 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1300 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2500+850 -
3
Over / Under
- -2000+775 -
3.5
Over / Under
-588+376 -667+400 -
4
Over / Under
-526+346 -588+375 -
4.5
Over / Under
-357+253 -400+275 -
5
Over / Under
-294+210 -333+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
-185+140 -200+150 -
6
Over / Under
-159+120 -167+125 -
6.5
Over / Under
-123+102 -125+105 -125+105
7
Over / Under
+104-135 +105-139 -
7.5
Over / Under
+132-175 +135-175 -
8
Over / Under
+163-217 +165-222 -
8.5
Over / Under
+183-250 +185-250 -
9
Over / Under
+253-357 +250-357 -
9.5
Over / Under
+285-417 +290-417 -
10
Over / Under
+361-556 +360-556 -
10.5
Over / Under
+382-625 +375-588 -
11
Over / Under
+529-1000 +525-909 -
11.5
Over / Under
+558-1111 +550-1000 -
12
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -
12.5
Over / Under
- +700-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.