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Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians odds

Tampa Bay
Rays
SM rating 1553 · #4
2 – 3
Final
Guardians -1.5 did not cover
Under 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, October 15
1:00 PM ET
Progressive Field
Cleveland
Guardians
SM rating 1516 · #11
TB 50%CLE 50%
Fair moneyline
-100 / +100
TB / CLE, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +4 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1553 / 1516
TB / CLE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Rays
Moneyline
+112
bet365
+112 +105 +112
Guardians
Moneyline
-125
DraftKings
-125 -125 -132
Rays
Spread
+1-156
DraftKings
+1-156 +1.5-208 +1.5-208
Guardians
Spread
-1.5+175
bet365
-1+119 -1.5+170 -1.5+175
Over
Total
6.5-115
BetMGM
6.5-118 6.5-115 6.5-116
Under
Total
6.5-103
DraftKings
6.5-103 6.5-105 6.5-104
Margin
Moneyline
2.7% 2.7%4.2%3.9%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CLE line
-5
TB +5
+920-3333 - -
-4.5
TB +4.5
+650-1429 - -
-4
TB +4
+620-1250 - -
-3.5
TB +3.5
+427-714 +400-667 -
-3
TB +3
+394-625 - -
-2.5
TB +2.5
+276-400 +270-385 -
-2
TB +2
+241-345 - -
-1.5
TB +1.5
+176-217 +170-208 +175-208
-1
TB +1
+119-156 - -
+1
TB -1
-192+145 - -
+1.5
TB -1.5
-244+179 -250+185 -
+2
TB -2
-357+253 - -
+2.5
TB -2.5
-417+287 -455+300 -
+3
TB -3
-667+409 - -
+3.5
TB -3.5
-769+442 -833+475 -
+4
TB -4
-1429+630 - -
+4.5
TB -4.5
-1429+660 - -

Top number: CLE at that line; bottom: TB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- -10000+1200 -
2
Over / Under
- -10000+1150 -
2.5
Over / Under
- -2000+800 -
3
Over / Under
- -1667+750 -
3.5
Over / Under
-588+371 -588+375 -
4
Over / Under
-526+340 -526+350 -
4.5
Over / Under
-345+245 -357+250 -
5
Over / Under
-278+203 -286+210 -
5.5
Over / Under
-179+135 -179+135 -
6
Over / Under
-152+115 -149+115 -
6.5
Over / Under
-118-103 -115-105 -116-104
7
Over / Under
+108-141 +115-149 -
7.5
Over / Under
+135-179 +145-189 -
8
Over / Under
+166-222 +180-238 -
8.5
Over / Under
+185-250 +200-278 -
9
Over / Under
+253-357 +280-400 -
9.5
Over / Under
+283-417 +310-455 -
10
Over / Under
+354-556 +400-625 -
10.5
Over / Under
+374-588 +425-714 -
11
Over / Under
+522-1000 +575-1111 -
11.5
Over / Under
+551-1111 +600-1111 -
12
Over / Under
- +750-1667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.