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Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat odds

Minnesota
Timberwolves
SM rating 1655 · #7
131 – 106
Final
Heat -1.5 did not cover
Under 240.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, October 21
7:30 PM ET
Kaseya Center
Miami
Heat
SM rating 1457 · #19
MIN 48%MIA 52%
Fair moneyline
+108 / -108
MIN / MIA, no vig
Market win %
48% / 52%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIN +0 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 48% (no vig)
Ratings
1655 / 1457
MIN / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Timberwolves
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
-102 +100 +105 +103
Heat
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
-119 -118 -115 -123
Timberwolves
Spread
+1.5-110
BetMGM
+1.5-112 +1.5-110 +1.5-110 +1.5-111
Heat
Spread
-1.5-109
DraftKings
-1.5-109 -1.5-110 -1.5-110 -1.5-109
Over
Total
240.5-111
DraftKings
240.5-111 240.5-115 240.5-118 240.5-112
Under
Total
240.5-105
FanDuel
240.5-111 240.5-105 240.5-110 240.5-108
Margin
Moneyline
2.2% 4.6%4.0%2.2%4.2%
MarketBest
Timberwolves
Moneyline
+102
DraftKings
+102 -102 -102
Heat
Moneyline
-118
BetMGM
-123 -118 -118
Timberwolves
Spread
+1.5-116
DraftKings
+1.5-116 +0.5-110 +0.5-112
Heat
Spread
-0.5-108
bet365
-1.5-105 -0.5-110 -0.5-108
Over
Total
117.5-110
BetMGM
- 117.5-110 117.5-112
Under
Total
117.5-108
bet365
- 117.5-110 117.5-108
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.5%4.4%4.4%
MarketBest
Timberwolves
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-102 -105 +100
Heat
Moneyline
-118
BetMGM
-119 -118 -120
Timberwolves
Spread
+0.5-115
BetMGM
+0.5-116 +0.5-115 +0.5-115
Heat
Spread
-0.5-105
BetMGM
-0.5-105 -0.5-105 -0.5-105
Over
Total
59.5-105
BetMGM
- 59.5-105 58.5-115
Under
Total
58.5-105
bet365
- 59.5-125 58.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.6%5.1%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-11.5
MIN +11.5
+293-400 - +325-476 -
-10.5
MIN +10.5
+261-357 - +280-400 -
-9.5
MIN +9.5
+231-303 - +250-357 -
-8.5
MIN +8.5
+204-263 - +210-294 -
-7.5
MIN +7.5
+180-233 - +185-250 -
-6.5
MIN +6.5
+161-204 - +160-208 -
-5.5
MIN +5.5
+144-182 - +140-182 -
-4.5
MIN +4.5
+129-161 - +125-161 -
-3.5
MIN +3.5
+116-145 - +110-143 -
-2.5
MIN +2.5
+103-128 - -102-128 -
-1.5
MIN +1.5
-109-112 -110-110 -110-110 -109-111
+1.5
MIN -1.5
-132+106 - -139+105 -
+2.5
MIN -2.5
-149+120 - -154+118 -
+3.5
MIN -3.5
-169+135 - -169+130 -
+4.5
MIN -4.5
-189+149 - -200+150 -
+5.5
MIN -5.5
-213+167 - -222+165 -
+6.5
MIN -6.5
-238+186 - -250+185 -
+7.5
MIN -7.5
-270+207 - -294+210 -
+8.5
MIN -8.5
-312+235 - -333+240 -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: MIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
226.5
Over / Under
-526+370 - - -
227.5
Over / Under
-476+335 - - -
228.5
Over / Under
-417+304 - - -
229.5
Over / Under
-370+275 - - -
230.5
Over / Under
-333+250 - - -
231.5
Over / Under
-294+225 - -250+185 -
232.5
Over / Under
-263+202 - -238+175 -
233.5
Over / Under
-233+182 - -208+160 -
234.5
Over / Under
-213+166 - -200+150 -
235.5
Over / Under
-192+151 - -179+135 -
236.5
Over / Under
-172+136 - -167+125 -
237.5
Over / Under
-154+122 - -154+118 -
238.5
Over / Under
-137+110 - -143+110 -
239.5
Over / Under
-123-101 - -128+100 -
240.5
Over / Under
-111-111 -115-105 -118-110 -112-108
241.5
Over / Under
+100-125 - -105-115 -
242.5
Over / Under
+111-139 - -102-128 -
243.5
Over / Under
+123-154 - +105-139 -
244.5
Over / Under
+136-172 - +115-149 -
245.5
Over / Under
+150-192 - +125-161 -
246.5
Over / Under
+166-213 - +135-175 -
247.5
Over / Under
+185-238 - +145-189 -
248.5
Over / Under
+194-250 - +155-208 -
249.5
Over / Under
+217-286 - +165-222 -
250.5
Over / Under
- - +180-238 -
251.5
Over / Under
- - +200-278 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.