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Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks odds

Miami
Heat
SM rating 1440 · #19
@
Wednesday, October 28
7:00 PM ET
State Farm Arena
Atlanta
Hawks
SM rating 1603 · #12
MIA 23%ATL 77%
Fair moneyline
+329 / -329
MIA / ATL, no vig
Market win %
- / -
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
-
No market price yet
Ratings
1440 / 1603
MIA / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something, so the injury list is the first place to look.

Game lines

Updated 3:11 AM ET
MarketBest
Heat
Moneyline
+104
Kalshi
+104
Hawks
Moneyline
-138
Kalshi
-138
Heat
Spread
- -
Hawks
Spread
- -
Over
Total
- -
Under
Total
- -
Margin
Moneyline
6.5% 6.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Shortening drifting: a book's price or line moved in the last 6 hours (by at least a point of implied chance, or a line). Arrows point the way the number moved, next to the line when the line moved; hover or tap for what it was.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Kalshi prices include an estimate of Kalshi's trading fee, so they show what the bet costs. How we price Kalshi

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Line movement