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Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs odds

Ottawa
Senators
SM rating 1524 · #11
3 – 2
Final
Maple Leafs -1.5 did not cover
Under 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, October 3
7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto
Maple Leafs
SM rating 1479 · #23
OTT 53%TOR 47%
Fair moneyline
-114 / +114
OTT / TOR, no vig
Market win %
50% / 50%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
OTT +4 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 50% (no vig)
Ratings
1524 / 1479
OTT / TOR, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Senators
Moneyline
-105
DraftKings
-105 -110 -110 -110
Maple Leafs
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-116 -110 -110 -110
Senators
Spread
+1.5-263
FanDuel
+1.5-270 +1.5-263 -1.5+200 -1.5+185
Maple Leafs
Spread
-1.5+220
DraftKings
-1.5+220 -1.5+210 +1.5-250 +1.5-270
Over
Total
6-120
BetMGM
6.5+110 6.5+110 6-120 6.5+105
Under
Total
6.5-125
bet365
6.5-132 6.5-133 6+100 6.5-125
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.7%4.5%4.5%4.5%
MarketBest
Senators
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
- -115 -
Maple Leafs
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
- -115 -
Senators
Spread
-0.5+175
DraftKings
-0.5+175 -0.5+165 -0.5+175
Maple Leafs
Spread
+0.5-208
bet365
+0.5-233 +0.5-238 +0.5-208
Over
Total
1.5-115
bet365
- 1.5-139 1.5-115
Under
Total
1.5+105
BetMGM
- 1.5+105 1.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
6.5% -6.5%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TOR line
-4.5
OTT +4.5
- - - +1200-10000
-3.5
OTT +3.5
+800-2000 - - +775-2000
-2.5
OTT +2.5
+360-588 - +333-455 +375-667
-1.5
OTT +1.5
+220-270 +210-263 +200-250 +220-270
+1.5
OTT -1.5
- - -250+200 -270+185
+2.5
OTT -2.5
-476+310 - -455+333 -588+350
+3.5
OTT -3.5
-1667+750 - -1429+825 -
+4.5
OTT -4.5
- - -10000+1750 -

Top number: TOR at that line; bottom: OTT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - - -10000+1100
3
Over / Under
- - -10000+1650 -
3.5
Over / Under
- - -714+500 -909+500
4
Over / Under
- - -667+475 -
4.5
Over / Under
- - -417+320 -455+290
5
Over / Under
- - -303+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
- - -149+125 -164+120
6
Over / Under
- - -120+100 -
6.5
Over / Under
+110-132 +110-133 +105-125 +105-125
7
Over / Under
- - +180-222 -
7.5
Over / Under
- - +230-294 +225-333
8
Over / Under
- - +320-417 -
8.5
Over / Under
- - +350-455 +340-556
9
Over / Under
- - +675-1111 -
9.5
Over / Under
- - - +675-1429
10.5
Over / Under
- - - +875-3333

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.