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Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Philadelphia
Flyers
SM rating 1477 · #24
1 – 4
Final
Lightning -1.5 covered
Under 5.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, October 5
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay
Lightning
SM rating 1546 · #4
PHI 40%TB 60%
Fair moneyline
+153 / -153
PHI / TB, no vig
Market win %
34% / 66%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +6 pts
SharpModels 40% · market 34% (no vig)
Ratings
1477 / 1546
PHI / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Flyers
Moneyline
+195
FanDuel
+180 +195 +185 +180
Lightning
Moneyline
-217
bet365
-222 -238 -227 -217
Flyers
Spread
+1.5-128
FanDuel
+1.5-135 +1.5-128 +1.5-130 +1.5-135
Lightning
Spread
-1.5+115
bet365
-1.5+114 -1.5+104 -1.5+110 -1.5+115
Over
Total
5.5-128
FanDuel
5.5-132 5.5-128 6+100 5.5-130
Under
Total
6-120
BetMGM
5.5+110 5.5+104 6-120 5.5+110
Margin
Moneyline
2.3% 4.5%4.1%4.3%4.0%
MarketBest
Flyers
Moneyline
+150
BetMGM
- +150 -
Lightning
Moneyline
-200
BetMGM
- -200 -
Flyers
Spread
+0.5-154
BetMGM
+0.5-167 +0.5-154 +0.5-154
Lightning
Spread
-0.5+130
DraftKings
-0.5+130 -0.5+115 -0.5+130
Over
Total
1.5-110
bet365
1.5-125 1.5-125 1.5-110
Under
Total
1.5-105
BetMGM
1.5-105 1.5-105 1.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
6.2% -6.2%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-5.5
PHI +5.5
- - - +1200-10000
-4.5
PHI +4.5
- - - +800-2500
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+420-714 - +400-625 +475-833
-2.5
PHI +2.5
- - +165-222 +215-312
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+114-135 +104-128 +110-130 +115-135
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-714+410 - -714+425 -667+375
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-1667+750 - -1429+650 -1667+700
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-10000+1700 - -10000+1500 -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - - -5000+1000
3.5
Over / Under
-833+450 - -667+400 -769+450
4
Over / Under
- - -588+375 -
4.5
Over / Under
-400+270 - -357+250 -385+265
5
Over / Under
- - -250+185 -
5.5
Over / Under
-132+110 -128+104 -128+100 -130+110
6
Over / Under
- - +100-120 -
6.5
Over / Under
- - +118-154 +115-159
7
Over / Under
- - +210-286 -
7.5
Over / Under
+270-400 - +270-385 +260-385
8
Over / Under
- - +375-588 -
8.5
Over / Under
+410-714 - +400-625 +375-667
9
Over / Under
- - +750-1667 -
9.5
Over / Under
+900-2500 - +800-2000 +725-1667

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.