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Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders odds

Tampa Bay
Lightning
SM rating 1546 · #4
5 – 3
Final
Lightning -1.5 covered
Over 5.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, October 10
7:30 PM ET
UBS Arena
New York
Islanders
SM rating 1491 · #17
TB 55%NYI 45%
Fair moneyline
-122 / +122
TB / NYI, no vig
Market win %
62% / 38%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NYI +7 pts
SharpModels 45% · market 38% (no vig)
Ratings
1546 / 1491
TB / NYI, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Lightning
Moneyline
-182
BetMGM
-182 -185 -182 -182
Islanders
Moneyline
+155
FanDuel
+150 +155 +150 +153
Lightning
Spread
-1.5+150
DraftKings
-1.5+150 -1.5+142 -1.5+135 -1.5+148
Islanders
Spread
+1.5-161
BetMGM
+1.5-182 +1.5-175 +1.5-161 +1.5-175
Over
Total
5.5-112
DraftKings
5.5-112 5.5-114 5.5-115 5.5-112
Under
Total
5.5-105
BetMGM
5.5-109 5.5-106 5.5-105 5.5-108
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.3%4.0%4.3%3.9%
MarketBest
Lightning
Moneyline
-167
BetMGM
- -167 -
Islanders
Moneyline
+125
BetMGM
- +125 -
Lightning
Spread
-0.5+155
bet365
-0.5+150 -0.5+130 -0.5+155
Islanders
Spread
+0.5-179
BetMGM
+0.5-196 +0.5-179 +0.5-185
Over
Total
1.5-108
bet365
1.5-120 1.5-118 1.5-108
Under
Total
1.5-110
BetMGM
1.5-111 1.5-110 1.5-112
Margin
Moneyline
6.5% -6.5%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NYI line
-3.5
TB +3.5
+1200-5000 - - -
-2.5
TB +2.5
+510-1000 - - +625-1250
-1.5
TB +1.5
+295-455 - +333-500 +320-500
+1.5
TB -1.5
-182+150 -175+142 -161+135 -175+148
+2.5
TB -2.5
- - -286+210 -400+270
+3.5
TB -3.5
-1111+575 - -909+500 -1250+600
+4.5
TB -4.5
- - -3333+1000 -5000+950
+5.5
TB -5.5
- - - -10000+1500

Top number: NYI at that line; bottom: TB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- - - -10000+1500
2.5
Over / Under
- - -10000+1200 -5000+950
3
Over / Under
- - -5000+1050 -
3.5
Over / Under
-667+390 - -588+375 -667+375
4
Over / Under
- - -526+340 -
4.5
Over / Under
-345+235 - -333+240 -333+225
5
Over / Under
- - -227+170 -
5.5
Over / Under
-112-109 -114-106 -115-105 -112-108
6
Over / Under
- - +105-139 -
6.5
Over / Under
- - +130-169 +140-189
7
Over / Under
- - +240-333 -
7.5
Over / Under
+300-455 - +290-417 +320-500
8
Over / Under
- - +400-667 -
8.5
Over / Under
+470-833 - +425-714 +475-833
9.5
Over / Under
+1100-5000 - - +800-2500

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.