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Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche odds

Toronto
Maple Leafs
SM rating 1479 · #23
6 – 3
Final
Avalanche -1.5 did not cover
Over 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, October 10
7:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
Colorado
Avalanche
SM rating 1556 · #2
TOR 33%COL 67%
Fair moneyline
+205 / -205
TOR / COL, no vig
Market win %
34% / 66%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
COL +1 pts
SharpModels 67% · market 66% (no vig)
Ratings
1479 / 1556
TOR / COL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Maple Leafs
Moneyline
+180
DraftKings
+180 +180 +180 +180
Avalanche
Moneyline
-217
bet365
-222 -222 -222 -217
Maple Leafs
Spread
+1.5-120
FanDuel
+1.5-132 +1.5-120 +1.5-128 +1.5-128
Avalanche
Spread
-1.5+110
DraftKings
-1.5+110 -1.5-102 -1.5+105 -1.5+108
Over
Total
6.5-125
DraftKings
6.5-125 6.5-130 6.5-128 6.5-125
Under
Total
6.5+106
FanDuel
6.5+105 6.5+106 6.5+105 6.5+105
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.5%4.5%4.5%4.0%
MarketBest
Maple Leafs
Moneyline
+145
BetMGM
- +145 -
Avalanche
Moneyline
-189
BetMGM
- -189 -
Maple Leafs
Spread
+0.5-149
BetMGM
+0.5-167 +0.5-149 +0.5-154
Avalanche
Spread
-0.5+130
DraftKings
-0.5+130 -0.5+110 -0.5+130
Over
Total
1.5-141
bet365
1.5-167 2+115 1.5-141
Under
Total
1.5+130
DraftKings
1.5+130 2-149 1.5+120
Margin
Moneyline
5.9% -5.9%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

COL line
-5.5
TOR +5.5
- - - +1000-5000
-4.5
TOR +4.5
- - +725-1667 +725-1667
-3.5
TOR +3.5
+380-625 - +360-556 +375-667
-2.5
TOR +2.5
- - +160-208 +185-270
-1.5
TOR +1.5
+110-132 -102-120 +105-128 +108-128
+1.5
TOR -1.5
-588+360 - -588+375 -588+350
+2.5
TOR -2.5
-1250+600 - - -1429+650
+3.5
TOR -3.5
-10000+1300 - - -

Top number: COL at that line; bottom: TOR at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - - -10000+1400
3.5
Over / Under
-1429+675 - -1250+600 -1429+650
4
Over / Under
- - -1111+575 -
4.5
Over / Under
-667+400 - -625+400 -667+375
5
Over / Under
- - -476+320 -
5.5
Over / Under
- - -208+155 -227+162
6
Over / Under
- - -169+130 -
6.5
Over / Under
-125+105 -130+106 -128+105 -125+105
7
Over / Under
- - +118-154 -
7.5
Over / Under
+175-244 - +165-222 +165-227
8
Over / Under
- - +220-303 -
8.5
Over / Under
+270-400 - +250-357 +265-385
9
Over / Under
- - +450-769 -
9.5
Over / Under
+575-1111 - +500-909 +525-909
10.5
Over / Under
- - - +725-1667

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.