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Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs odds

Buffalo
Sabres
SM rating 1525 · #10
5 – 4
Final
Maple Leafs -1.5 did not cover
Over 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, October 15
7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto
Maple Leafs
SM rating 1479 · #23
BUF 57%TOR 43%
Fair moneyline
-131 / +131
BUF / TOR, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BUF +8 pts
SharpModels 57% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1525 / 1479
BUF / TOR, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Sabres
Moneyline
-105
BetMGM
-105 -105 -105 -106
Maple Leafs
Moneyline
-112
bet365
-116 -114 -115 -112
Sabres
Spread
+1.5-238
BetMGM
+1.5-263 +1.5-250 +1.5-238 +1.5-250
Maple Leafs
Spread
-1.5+210
DraftKings
-1.5+210 -1.5+198 -1.5+195 -1.5+205
Over
Total
6.5-132
bet365
6.5-132 6.5-132 6.5-133 6.5-132
Under
Total
6.5+112
bet365
6.5+110 6.5+108 6.5+110 6.5+112
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.7%4.3%4.5%4.1%
MarketBest
Sabres
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
- -110 -
Maple Leafs
Moneyline
-118
BetMGM
- -118 -
Sabres
Spread
-0.5+165
DraftKings
-0.5+165 +0.5-222 +0.5-200
Maple Leafs
Spread
-0.5+165
bet365
+0.5-217 -0.5+154 -0.5+165
Over
Total
1.5-147
bet365
1.5-189 2-102 1.5-147
Under
Total
1.5+145
DraftKings
1.5+145 2-128 1.5+124
Margin
Moneyline
6.1% -6.1%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TOR line
-5.5
BUF +5.5
- - - +1600
-4.5
BUF +4.5
- - - +1000-5000
-3.5
BUF +3.5
+750-1667 - +625-1250 +700-1667
-2.5
BUF +2.5
+330-526 - +290-417 +340-556
-1.5
BUF +1.5
+210-263 +198-250 +195-238 +205-250
+1.5
BUF -1.5
- - -278+200 -278+200
+2.5
BUF -2.5
-476+310 - -455+310 -588+350
+3.5
BUF -3.5
-1429+700 - -1667+700 -

Top number: TOR at that line; bottom: BUF at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
3.5
Over / Under
-1429+675 - -1250+625 -
4
Over / Under
- - -1111+600 -
4.5
Over / Under
-714+410 - -714+425 -
5
Over / Under
- - -500+333 -
5.5
Over / Under
-227+165 - -208+160 -
6
Over / Under
- - -179+135 -
6.5
Over / Under
-132+110 -132+108 -133+110 -132+112
7
Over / Under
- - +115-149 -
7.5
Over / Under
+170-233 - +160-208 -
8
Over / Under
- - +210-286 -
8.5
Over / Under
+265-400 - +240-333 -
9
Over / Under
- - +425-714 -
9.5
Over / Under
+550-1000 - +475-833 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.