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Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Seattle
Kraken
SM rating 1470 · #28
3 – 4
Final
Lightning -1.5 did not cover
Over 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, October 15
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay
Lightning
SM rating 1546 · #4
SEA 36%TB 64%
Fair moneyline
+176 / -176
SEA / TB, no vig
Market win %
29% / 71%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SEA +7 pts
SharpModels 36% · market 29% (no vig)
Ratings
1470 / 1546
SEA / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Kraken
Moneyline
+230
bet365
+225 +220 +225 +230
Lightning
Moneyline
-278
BetMGM
-286 -278 -278 -278
Kraken
Spread
+1.5-105
BetMGM
+1.5-112 +1.5-115 +1.5-105 +1.5-112
Lightning
Spread
-1.5-105
FanDuel
-1.5-109 -1.5-105 -1.5-115 -1.5-108
Over
Total
6.5+110
DraftKings
6.5+110 6.5+102 6.5+100 6.5+105
Under
Total
6.5-120
BetMGM
6.5-132 6.5-123 6.5-120 6.5-125
Margin
Moneyline
3.7% 4.6%4.6%4.1%3.7%
MarketBest
Kraken
Moneyline
+170
BetMGM
- +170 -
Lightning
Moneyline
-227
BetMGM
- -227 -
Kraken
Spread
+0.5-133
BetMGM
+0.5-147 +0.5-133 +0.5-147
Lightning
Spread
-0.5+124
bet365
-0.5+114 -0.5+100 -0.5+124
Over
Total
1.5-130
bet365
1.5-156 1.5-143 1.5-130
Under
Total
1.5+120
DraftKings
1.5+120 1.5+110 1.5+110
Margin
Moneyline
6.1% -6.1%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-5.5
SEA +5.5
- - - +1000-5000
-4.5
SEA +4.5
- - +625-1250 +700-1667
-3.5
SEA +3.5
+340-526 - +310-455 +350-588
-2.5
SEA +2.5
- - +135-175 +170-238
-1.5
SEA +1.5
-109-112 -105-115 -115-105 -108-112
+1.5
SEA -1.5
-833+450 - -833+475 -769+450
+2.5
SEA -2.5
-2000+800 - - -2000+750
+3.5
SEA -3.5
-10000+1700 - - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: SEA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - - -10000+1100
3
Over / Under
- - -10000+1450 -
3.5
Over / Under
-1000+510 - -909+500 -1000+550
4
Over / Under
- - -769+450 -
4.5
Over / Under
-455+300 - -455+310 -500+320
5
Over / Under
- - -333+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
- - -161+125 -175+125
6
Over / Under
- - -128+100 -
6.5
Over / Under
+110-132 +102-123 +100-120 +105-125
7
Over / Under
- - +160-208 -
7.5
Over / Under
+235-345 - +210-294 +215-312
8
Over / Under
- - +290-417 -
8.5
Over / Under
+350-556 - +325-476 +340-556
9
Over / Under
- - +600-1111 -
9.5
Over / Under
+750-1667 - - +650-1429
10.5
Over / Under
- - - +850-2500

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.