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Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights odds

Tampa Bay
Lightning
SM rating 1546 · #4
6 – 2
Final
Golden Knights -1.5 did not cover
Over 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Tuesday, October 20
10:45 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
Vegas
Golden Knights
SM rating 1530 · #7
TB 48%VGK 52%
Fair moneyline
+107 / -107
TB / VGK, no vig
Market win %
50% / 50%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
VGK +2 pts
SharpModels 52% · market 50% (no vig)
Ratings
1546 / 1530
TB / VGK, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Lightning
Moneyline
-110
BetMGM
-111 -110 -110 -111
Golden Knights
Moneyline
-109
bet365
-111 -110 -110 -109
Lightning
Spread
+1.5-263
FanDuel
+1.5-270 +1.5-263 +1.5-278 -1.5+200
Golden Knights
Spread
-1.5+220
BetMGM
-1.5+220 -1.5+210 -1.5+220 +1.5-278
Over
Total
6.5+112
FanDuel
6.5+110 6.5+112 6-120 6.5+109
Under
Total
6.5-128
bet365
6.5-132 6.5-139 6+100 6.5-128
Margin
Moneyline
4.3% 5.0%4.5%4.5%4.5%
MarketBest
Lightning
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
- -115 -
Golden Knights
Moneyline
-115
BetMGM
- -115 -
Lightning
Spread
-0.5+175
bet365
-0.5+170 -0.5+165 -0.5+175
Golden Knights
Spread
+0.5-208
bet365
+0.5-222 +0.5-238 +0.5-208
Over
Total
1.5-127
bet365
1.5-135 1.5-139 1.5-127
Under
Total
1.5+107
bet365
1.5+105 1.5+105 1.5+107
Margin
Moneyline
6.5% -6.5%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

VGK line
-4.5
TB +4.5
- - - +1100-10000
-3.5
TB +3.5
+800-2000 - +725-1667 +750-2000
-2.5
TB +2.5
+350-556 - +320-476 +350-588
-1.5
TB +1.5
+220-270 +210-263 +220-278 +215-263
+1.5
TB -1.5
- - -303+220 -278+200
+2.5
TB -2.5
-526+340 - -476+320 -588+350
+3.5
TB -3.5
-2000+800 - -1667+725 -

Top number: VGK at that line; bottom: TB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - - -10000+1100
3.5
Over / Under
-909+490 - -833+475 -909+525
4
Over / Under
- - -714+425 -
4.5
Over / Under
-455+295 - -455+310 -455+290
5
Over / Under
- - -333+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
- - -154+118 -164+120
6
Over / Under
- - -120+100 -
6.5
Over / Under
+110-132 +112-139 +100-128 +109-128
7
Over / Under
- - +170-227 -
7.5
Over / Under
+240-345 - +220-303 +220-323
8
Over / Under
- - +300-455 -
8.5
Over / Under
+370-625 - +325-500 +340-556
9
Over / Under
- - +625-1250 -
9.5
Over / Under
+800-2000 - +675-1429 +675-1429
10.5
Over / Under
- - - +875-3333

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.