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Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres odds

Philadelphia
Flyers
SM rating 1477 · #24
3 – 1
Final
Sabres -1.5 did not cover
Under 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, October 21
7:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center
Buffalo
Sabres
SM rating 1525 · #10
PHI 39%BUF 61%
Fair moneyline
+159 / -159
PHI / BUF, no vig
Market win %
35% / 65%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +4 pts
SharpModels 39% · market 35% (no vig)
Ratings
1477 / 1525
PHI / BUF, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Flyers
Moneyline
+180
DraftKings
+180 +172 +165 +180
Sabres
Moneyline
-200
BetMGM
-222 -208 -200 -217
Flyers
Spread
+1.5-145
bet365
+1.5-149 +1.5-152 +1.5-154 +1.5-145
Sabres
Spread
-1.5+130
BetMGM
-1.5+124 -1.5+124 -1.5+130 -1.5+122
Over
Total
5.5-143
FanDuel
6.5+114 5.5-143 6-110 6.5+113
Under
Total
6.5-133
bet365
6.5-135 5.5+116 6-110 6.5-133
Margin
Moneyline
2.3% 4.5%4.1%4.2%4.0%
MarketBest
Flyers
Moneyline
+130
BetMGM
- +130 -
Sabres
Moneyline
-169
BetMGM
- -169 -
Flyers
Spread
+0.5-167
bet365
+0.5-175 +0.5-175 +0.5-167
Sabres
Spread
-0.5+142
bet365
-0.5+135 -0.5+125 -0.5+142
Over
Total
1.5-123
bet365
1.5-141 1.5-128 1.5-123
Under
Total
1.5+110
DraftKings
1.5+110 1.5-102 1.5+104
Margin
Moneyline
5.9% -5.9%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BUF line
-5.5
PHI +5.5
- - - +1200-10000
-4.5
PHI +4.5
- - +1000-5000 +800-2500
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+450-833 - +475-833 +475-833
-2.5
PHI +2.5
- - +210-294 +215-312
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+124-149 +124-152 +130-154 +122-145
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-588+360 - -500+333 -588+350
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-1429+650 - -1000+525 -1429+675
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-10000+1400 - - -

Top number: BUF at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - - -10000+1100
3
Over / Under
- - -10000+1250 -
3.5
Over / Under
-833+470 - -714+425 -909+500
4
Over / Under
- - -667+400 -
4.5
Over / Under
-435+285 - -400+280 -455+290
5
Over / Under
- - -286+210 -
5.5
Over / Under
- -143+116 -143+110 -159+115
6
Over / Under
- - -110-110 -
6.5
Over / Under
+114-135 - +110-143 +113-133
7
Over / Under
- - +185-250 -
7.5
Over / Under
+250-370 - +250-357 +225-333
8
Over / Under
- - +333-500 -
8.5
Over / Under
+380-625 - +360-556 +340-556
9
Over / Under
- - +675-1429 -
9.5
Over / Under
+850-2000 - - +700-1667
10.5
Over / Under
- - - +875-3333

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.