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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals odds

Philadelphia
Flyers
SM rating 1477 · #24
@
Wednesday, October 28
7:30 PM ET
Capital One Arena
Washington
Capitals
SM rating 1526 · #8
PHI 40%WSH 60%
Fair moneyline
+151 / -151
PHI / WSH, no vig
Market win %
33% / 67%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PHI +7 pts
SharpModels 40% · market 33% (no vig)
Ratings
1477 / 1526
PHI / WSH, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something, so the injury list is the first place to look.

Game lines

Updated 4:01 PM ET
MarketBest
Flyers
Moneyline
+190
DraftKings
+190 +190 +190 +188 +190 +185 +186
Capitals
Moneyline
-227
bet365
-230 -235 -235 -230 -238 -227 -233
Flyers
Spread
+1.5-120
DraftKings
+1.5-120 +1.5-124 +1.5-125 +1.5-148 +1.5-120 +1.5-122 +1.5-133
Capitals
Spread
-1.5+118
BetRivers
-1.5+100 -1.5+102 -1.5+105 -1.5+118 -1.5+100 -1.5+102 -1.5+108
Over
Total
5.5-141
Fanatics
6.5+110 6.5+106 6-125 6.5+112 5.5-141 6.5+113 6.5+104
Under
Total
6+105
BetMGM
6.5-130 6.5-130 6+105 6.5-139 5.5+115 6.5-133 6.5-138
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.0%4.4%4.4%4.2%4.7%4.3%4.7%
MarketBest
Flyers
Moneyline
+275
DraftKings
+275 - - -
Capitals
Moneyline
+125
DraftKings
+125 - - -
Flyers
Spread
+0.5-154
bet365
+0.5-160 +0.5-161 +0.5-154 -
Capitals
Spread
-0.5+130
bet365
-0.5+124 -0.5+120 -0.5+130 -
Over
Total
1.5-120
Fanatics
1.5-130 1.5-120 1.5-120 1.5-133
Under
Total
1.5+100
DraftKings
1.5+100 1.5-111 1.5+100 1.5-113
Margin
Moneyline
-40.6% -40.6%---
MarketBest
Flyers
Moneyline
+260
DraftKings
+260
Capitals
Moneyline
+110
DraftKings
+110
Flyers
Spread
+0.5-140
DraftKings
+0.5-140
Capitals
Spread
-0.5+110
DraftKings
-0.5+110
Over
Total
1.5-175
DraftKings
1.5-175
Under
Total
1.5+135
DraftKings
1.5+135
Margin
Moneyline
-32.6% -32.6%
MarketBest
Flyers
Moneyline
+265
DraftKings
+265 -
Capitals
Moneyline
-110
DraftKings
-110 -
Flyers
Spread
+0.5-120
DraftKings
+0.5-120 +0.5-125
Capitals
Spread
-0.5-110
DraftKings
-0.5-110 -0.5-110
Over
Total
2.5+140
DraftKings
2.5+140 -
Under
Total
2.5-180
DraftKings
2.5-180 -
Margin
Moneyline
-25.3% -25.3%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Shortening drifting: a book's price or line moved in the last 6 hours (by at least a point of implied chance, or a line). Arrows point the way the number moved, next to the line when the line moved; hover or tap for what it was.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Kalshi prices include an estimate of Kalshi's trading fee, so they show what the bet costs. How we price Kalshi

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

WSH line
-7.5
PHI +7.5
- - - - +7000 - -
-6.5
PHI +6.5
- - - - +4000 - -
-5.5
PHI +5.5
- - - - +1900-10000 +1000-5000 -
-4.5
PHI +4.5
- - - - +1000-2000 +725-1667 -
-3.5
PHI +3.5
+370-600 - - +475-715 +390-588 +400-714 -
-2.5
PHI +2.5
+160-215 - - +215-278 +165-208 +180-256 +178-245
-1.5
PHI +1.5
+100-120 +102-124 +105-125 +118-148 +100-120 +102-122 +108-133
+1.5
PHI -1.5
-725+430 - - -770+500 -714+460 -667+375 -567+456
+2.5
PHI -2.5
-1600+750 - - - -1667+800 -1667+700 -1150+809
+3.5
PHI -3.5
-12500+1700 - - - -10000+1900 - -

Top number: WSH at that line; bottom: PHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
1.5
Over / Under
- - - - - - -9900+178
2.5
Over / Under
- - - - -5000+1700 -10000+1100 -9900+488
3.5
Over / Under
-875+490 - - -770+500 -833+500 -909+525 -900+488
4.5
Over / Under
-450+300 - - -400+295 -400+290 -455+290 -488+285
5.5
Over / Under
-160+120 - - -141+114 -141+115 -164+120 -156+122
6
Over / Under
- - -125+105 - - - -
6.5
Over / Under
+110-130 +106-130 - +112-139 +115-141 +113-133 +104-138
7.5
Over / Under
+235-335 - - +255-335 +260-357 +225-333 +233-355
8.5
Over / Under
+350-550 - - +390-560 +410-625 +340-556 +355-525
9.5
Over / Under
+750-1600 - - - - +675-1429 +733-1900
10.5
Over / Under
- - - - - +875-3333 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.

Team totals

Team
Flyers O/U 2.5-105 / -135 - - - - - -
Capitals O/U 3.5-140 / +100 - - - - - -

Line movement