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Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards odds

Milwaukee
Bucks
SM rating 1207 · #23
116 – 128
Final
Wizards -4.5 covered
Over 238.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, October 21
7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
Washington
Wizards
SM rating 1049 · #30
MIL 57%WSH 43%
Fair moneyline
-132 / +132
MIL / WSH, no vig
Market win %
39% / 61%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIL +18 pts
SharpModels 57% · market 39% (no vig)
Ratings
1207 / 1049
MIL / WSH, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 18 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Bucks
Moneyline
+147
bet365
+145 +144 +145 +147
Wizards
Moneyline
-175
BetMGM
-175 -175 -175 -175
Bucks
Spread
+4.5-111
bet365
+4.5-116 +4.5-112 +4.5-115 +4.5-111
Wizards
Spread
-4.5-105
BetMGM
-4.5-105 -4.5-108 -4.5-105 -4.5-109
Over
Total
238.5-108
bet365
- 238.5-108 238.5-110 238.5-108
Under
Total
238.5-112
FanDuel
- 238.5-112 238.5-118 238.5-114
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.3%4.4%4.3%4.0%
MarketBest
Bucks
Moneyline
+136
DraftKings
+136 +135 +127
Wizards
Moneyline
-152
bet365
-164 -161 -152
Bucks
Spread
+2.5-110
BetMGM
+2.5-112 +2.5-110 +2.5-114
Wizards
Spread
-2.5-108
bet365
-2.5-109 -2.5-110 -2.5-108
Over
Total
116.5-105
BetMGM
- 116.5-105 116.5-108
Under
Total
116.5-112
bet365
- 116.5-115 116.5-112
Margin
Moneyline
2.6% 4.3%4.1%4.2%
MarketBest
Bucks
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+120 +118 +120
Wizards
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-143 -143 -141
Bucks
Spread
+1.5-112
DraftKings
+1.5-112 +1.5-115 +1.5-115
Wizards
Spread
-1.5-105
BetMGM
-1.5-109 -1.5-105 -1.5-105
Over
Total
58.5-110
bet365
- 59.5-105 58.5-110
Under
Total
59.5-115
BetMGM
- 59.5-115 58.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.1%4.5%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

WSH line
-14.5
MIL +14.5
+302-417 - +360-556 -
-13.5
MIL +13.5
+272-370 - +325-476 -
-12.5
MIL +12.5
+245-323 - +290-417 -
-11.5
MIL +11.5
+220-294 - +250-357 -
-10.5
MIL +10.5
+194-250 - +220-303 -
-9.5
MIL +9.5
+173-222 - +200-278 -
-8.5
MIL +8.5
+152-192 - +170-227 -
-7.5
MIL +7.5
+134-169 - +145-189 -
-6.5
MIL +6.5
+119-149 - +125-161 -
-5.5
MIL +5.5
+106-132 - +105-139 -
-4.5
MIL +4.5
-105-116 -108-112 -105-115 -109-111
-3.5
MIL +3.5
-122-102 - -125-105 -
-2.5
MIL +2.5
-141+112 - -143+110 -
-1.5
MIL +1.5
-161+128 - -161+125 -
+1.5
MIL -1.5
-196+155 - -200+150 -
+2.5
MIL -2.5
-222+173 - -227+170 -
+3.5
MIL -3.5
-256+196 - -250+190 -
+4.5
MIL -4.5
-286+219 - -303+220 -
+5.5
MIL -5.5
-333+247 - -357+250 -

Top number: WSH at that line; bottom: MIL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
227.5
Over / Under
- - -278+200 -
228.5
Over / Under
- - -250+185 -
229.5
Over / Under
- - -227+170 -
230.5
Over / Under
- - -208+160 -
231.5
Over / Under
- - -189+145 -
232.5
Over / Under
- - -179+135 -
233.5
Over / Under
- - -161+125 -
234.5
Over / Under
- - -149+115 -
235.5
Over / Under
- - -139+105 -
236.5
Over / Under
- - -128-102 -
237.5
Over / Under
- - -115-105 -
238.5
Over / Under
- -108-112 -110-118 -108-114
239.5
Over / Under
- - +100-128 -
240.5
Over / Under
- - +110-143 -
241.5
Over / Under
- - +118-154 -
242.5
Over / Under
- - +130-169 -
243.5
Over / Under
- - +140-182 -
244.5
Over / Under
- - +150-200 -
245.5
Over / Under
- - +160-208 -
246.5
Over / Under
- - +175-238 -
247.5
Over / Under
- - +185-250 -
248.5
Over / Under
- - +200-278 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.