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Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers odds

Tampa Bay
Lightning
SM rating 1546 · #3
1 – 5
Final
Lightning -1.5 did not cover
Over 5.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, October 1
7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
New York
Rangers
SM rating 1477 · #24
TB 58%NYR 42%
Fair moneyline
-137 / +137
TB / NYR, no vig
Market win %
57% / 43%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +1 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 57% (no vig)
Ratings
1546 / 1477
TB / NYR, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Lightning
Moneyline
-143
BetMGM
-149 -152 -143 -149
Rangers
Moneyline
+126
FanDuel
+124 +126 +120 +125
Lightning
Spread
-1.5+175
bet365
-1.5+170 -1.5+164 -1.5+165 -1.5+175
Rangers
Spread
+1.5-200
BetMGM
+1.5-208 +1.5-204 +1.5-200 +1.5-208
Over
Total
5.5-118
FanDuel
5.5-120 5.5-118 5.5-120 5.5-125
Under
Total
5.5+105
bet365
5.5+100 5.5-104 5.5+100 5.5+105
Margin
Moneyline
3.0% 4.3%4.4%4.1%4.1%
MarketBest
Lightning
Moneyline
-139
BetMGM
- -139 -
Rangers
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
- +105 -
Lightning
Spread
-0.5+160
bet365
-0.5+154 -0.5+145 -0.5+160
Rangers
Spread
+0.5-189
bet365
+0.5-200 +0.5-208 +0.5-189
Over
Total
1.5-110
bet365
1.5-125 1.5-125 1.5-110
Under
Total
1.5-105
DraftKings
1.5-105 1.5-105 1.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
6.5% -6.5%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NYR line
-3.5
TB +3.5
+1100-5000 - +950-3333 -
-2.5
TB +2.5
+490-909 - +425-714 +500-909
-1.5
TB +1.5
+270-400 - +270-385 +270-400
+1.5
TB -1.5
-208+170 -204+164 -200+165 -208+175
+2.5
TB -2.5
- - -357+250 -500+320
+3.5
TB -3.5
-1429+650 - -1250+600 -1667+700
+4.5
TB -4.5
- - - -5000+1000

Top number: NYR at that line; bottom: TB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - -10000+1250 -5000+1000
3
Over / Under
- - -5000+1100 -
3.5
Over / Under
-714+410 - -625+400 -769+425
4
Over / Under
- - -556+360 -
4.5
Over / Under
-370+255 - -357+250 -385+265
5
Over / Under
- - -238+180 -
5.5
Over / Under
-120+100 -118-104 -120+100 -125+105
6
Over / Under
- - +100-128 -
6.5
Over / Under
- - +125-161 +115-159
7
Over / Under
- - +220-303 -
7.5
Over / Under
+295-455 - +280-400 +270-400
8
Over / Under
- - +375-588 -
8.5
Over / Under
+450-833 - +400-667 +400-714
9
Over / Under
- - +775-2000 -
9.5
Over / Under
+1000-3333 - +850-2500 +750-2000

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.