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Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Washington
Capitals
SM rating 1526 · #9
1 – 3
Final
Lightning -1.5 covered
Under 6.5
vs the most common closing line
Saturday, October 3
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay
Lightning
SM rating 1546 · #3
WSH 46%TB 54%
Fair moneyline
+119 / -119
WSH / TB, no vig
Market win %
36% / 64%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
WSH +10 pts
SharpModels 46% · market 36% (no vig)
Ratings
1526 / 1546
WSH / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Capitals
Moneyline
+170
BetMGM
+170 +168 +170 +165
Lightning
Moneyline
-200
bet365
-208 -204 -208 -200
Capitals
Spread
+1.5-139
BetMGM
+1.5-156 +1.5-149 +1.5-139 +1.5-154
Lightning
Spread
-1.5+130
DraftKings
-1.5+130 -1.5+122 -1.5+115 -1.5+130
Over
Total
6-118
BetMGM
6.5+105 6.5+100 6-118 6.5+100
Under
Total
6.5-120
bet365
6.5-125 6.5-122 6-102 6.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.4%4.2%4.4%4.2%
MarketBest
Capitals
Moneyline
+140
BetMGM
- +140 -
Lightning
Moneyline
-182
BetMGM
- -182 -
Capitals
Spread
+0.5-154
bet365
+0.5-182 +0.5-161 +0.5-154
Lightning
Spread
-0.5+140
DraftKings
-0.5+140 -0.5+118 -0.5+130
Over
Total
1.5-125
bet365
1.5-135 1.5-139 1.5-125
Under
Total
1.5+105
BetMGM
1.5+105 1.5+105 1.5+105
Margin
Moneyline
5.8% -5.8%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-5.5
WSH +5.5
- - - +1400-10000
-4.5
WSH +4.5
- - - +850-2500
-3.5
WSH +3.5
+470-833 - - +525-909
-2.5
WSH +2.5
- - - +235-345
-1.5
WSH +1.5
+130-156 +122-149 +115-139 +130-154
+1.5
WSH -1.5
-500+320 - - -556+340
+2.5
WSH -2.5
-1000+550 - - -1250+625
+3.5
WSH -3.5
-5000+1200 - - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: WSH at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - - -10000+1100
3
Over / Under
- - -10000+1350 -
3.5
Over / Under
-1000+510 - - -909+525
4.5
Over / Under
-500+320 - - -500+320
5
Over / Under
- - -303+220 -
5.5
Over / Under
- - -154+118 -169+122
6
Over / Under
- - -118-102 -
6.5
Over / Under
+105-125 +100-122 +100-128 +100-120
7
Over / Under
- - +170-227 -
7.5
Over / Under
+225-323 - - +215-312
8.5
Over / Under
+350-556 - - +340-556
9.5
Over / Under
+750-1667 - - +650-1429
10.5
Over / Under
- - - +850-2500

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.