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Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Minnesota
Wild
SM rating 1532 · #5
2 – 3
Final
Lightning -1.5 did not cover
Under 6
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, October 8
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay
Lightning
SM rating 1546 · #4
MIN 45%TB 55%
Fair moneyline
+122 / -122
MIN / TB, no vig
Market win %
43% / 57%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIN +2 pts
SharpModels 45% · market 43% (no vig)
Ratings
1532 / 1546
MIN / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Wild
Moneyline
+124
bet365
+120 +120 +120 +124
Lightning
Moneyline
-143
BetMGM
-143 -145 -143 -147
Wild
Spread
+1.5-200
BetMGM
+1.5-208 +1.5-208 +1.5-200 +1.5-200
Lightning
Spread
-1.5+170
DraftKings
-1.5+170 -1.5+168 -1.5+165 -1.5+165
Over
Total
6-116
bet365
6.5+110 6.5+104 6-120 6-116
Under
Total
6.5-128
FanDuel
6.5-132 6.5-128 6+100 6-103
Margin
Moneyline
3.4% 4.1%4.4%4.1%4.0%
MarketBest
Wild
Moneyline
+105
BetMGM
- +105 -
Lightning
Moneyline
-139
BetMGM
- -139 -
Wild
Spread
+0.5-189
bet365
+0.5-196 +0.5-200 +0.5-189
Lightning
Spread
-0.5+158
bet365
-0.5+150 -0.5+140 -0.5+158
Over
Total
1.5-125
bet365
1.5-135 1.5-139 1.5-125
Under
Total
1.5+105
BetMGM
1.5+105 1.5+105 1.5+105
Margin
Moneyline
6.5% -6.5%-

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (half a point is worth more where games often land). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-5.5
MIN +5.5
- - - +1500-10000
-4.5
MIN +4.5
- - - +950-5000
-3.5
MIN +3.5
+600-1250 - +575-1111 +625-1250
-2.5
MIN +2.5
+270-400 - +240-333 +290-455
-1.5
MIN +1.5
+170-208 +168-208 +165-200 +165-200
+1.5
MIN -1.5
-400+265 - -385+270 -385+265
+2.5
MIN -2.5
-769+440 - -667+400 -909+500
+3.5
MIN -3.5
-3333+1000 - - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: MIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
2.5
Over / Under
- - - -10000+1100
3
Over / Under
- - -10000+1400 -
3.5
Over / Under
-909+500 - -833+475 -909+500
4
Over / Under
- - -714+425 -
4.5
Over / Under
-455+300 - -455+310 -435+290
5
Over / Under
- - -333+240 -
5.5
Over / Under
- - -154+118 -159+115
6
Over / Under
- - -120+100 -116-103
6.5
Over / Under
+110-132 +104-128 +100-128 +100-141
7
Over / Under
- - +165-222 -
7.5
Over / Under
+240-345 - +220-303 +230-345
8
Over / Under
- - +300-455 -
8.5
Over / Under
+370-625 - +325-500 +350-588
9
Over / Under
- - +625-1250 -
9.5
Over / Under
+850-2000 - - +700-1667

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.