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SharpModels rated

Premier League odds

Best moneyline, spread and total for every game across the books we track, with SharpModels' win probability for each matchup.

Saturday, October 31

8 games
Sat, Oct 31, 8:30 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Chelsea
Model 47%
-0.5-120365 O 3+100DK -116FAN
Draw
Model 27%
+295DK
Man Utd
Model 26%
+0.5+103365 U 2.5+138FD +330BR
6 books MAN 26% vs mkt 23%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Bournemouth
Model 49%
-0.25-120365 O 2.5-115DK +115FD
Draw
Model 26%
+250BR
Leeds
Model 25%
+0.25+103365 U 2.5+100365 +250FD
6 books BOU 49% vs mkt 45%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Brentford
Model 50%
-0.5+105365 O 2.75-105365 +108KAL
Draw
Model 26%
+270DK
Nottm Forest
Model 24%
+0.5-125365 U 2.5+116FD +250FD
6 books BRE 50% vs mkt 46%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Coventry
Model 40%
+0.25-118365 O 2.5+100KAL +220365
Draw
Model 28%
+240365
Sunderland
Model 32%
-0.25+100365 U 2.5-114365 +135DK
6 books COV 40% vs mkt 31%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Hull
Model 31%
-1.5+470FD O 2.5-115BR +165DK
Draw
Model 28%
+245DK
Ipswich
Model 41%
+1.5-567KAL U 2.5+100365 +175FD
6 books IPS 41% vs mkt 35%
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Man City
Model 57%
-1.5+162FD O 3.5+106FD -156KAL
Draw
Model 24%
+360DK
Brighton
Model 19%
+0.5+125FAN U 3.25+103365 +380FD
6 books BHA 19% vs mkt 20%
Sat, Oct 31, 1:30 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Spurs
Model 49%
-1.5+164FD O 3+103365 -165DK
Draw
Model 26%
+350BR
C Palace
Model 25%
+0.5+145FAN U 2.5+136FD +460BR
6 books CRY 25% vs mkt 18%
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Aston Villa
Model 57%
-0.5-108365 O 2.75-115DK -105DK
Draw
Model 24%
+280BR
Fulham
Model 19%
+0.5-108365 U 2.75+100365 +285KAL
6 books AVL 57% vs mkt 49%

How to read Premier League odds

Moneyline (3-way)

Home win, draw or away win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties don't count. Odds are American: -150 means you risk $150 to win $100; +260 means a $100 bet wins $260. The header switch shows them as decimal odds or an implied probability instead.

Spread

A goal handicap. -0.5 means the team has to win; +0.5 wins if it wins or draws. Asian handicaps add whole and quarter lines: at -1 a one-goal win refunds the stake, and -0.25 splits the stake between 0 and -0.5. Half a goal around the draw matters most.

Total

Over or under the goals scored by both teams; 2.5 is the usual line. Quarter lines like 2.75 split the stake between 2.5 and 3. The best over is the lowest line at a fair price, the best under the highest.

Best price

The gold price is the best on offer for that outcome across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetRivers, Fanatics, bet365 and Kalshi. Taking the best price on offer means a winning bet pays more.

SharpModels

Each game shows SharpModels' win, draw and loss probabilities, a benchmark built only from team ratings. When it disagrees with the market by a lot, there's usually a reason the ratings can't see, like injuries or a rotated lineup; check the team news.

Line moves

We record every price change. Each game page charts how the spread, total and moneyline have moved at every book since we first saw them.