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New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks odds

New England
Patriots
SM rating 1599 · #8
10 – 13
Final
Seahawks -3.5 did not cover
Under 44.5
vs the most common closing line
Wednesday, September 9
8:20 PM ET
Lumen Field
Seattle
Seahawks
SM rating 1707 · #1
NE 30%SEA 70%
Fair moneyline
+229 / -229
NE / SEA, no vig
Market win %
39% / 61%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SEA +9 pts
SharpModels 70% · market 61% (no vig)
Ratings
1599 / 1707
NE / SEA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
+152
FanDuel
+142 +152 +145
Seahawks
Moneyline
-169
bet365
-172 -179 -169
Patriots
Spread
+3.5-120
bet365
- +3.5-122 +3.5-120
Seahawks
Spread
-3.5+100
bet365
- -3.5+100 -3.5+100
Over
Total
44.5-108
FanDuel
- 44.5-108 44.5-110
Under
Total
44.5-110
bet365
- 44.5-112 44.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
2.4% 4.4%3.7%3.5%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
+160
DraftKings
+160 +135
Seahawks
Moneyline
-159
bet365
-192 -159
Patriots
Spread
+2.5-105
bet365
- +2.5-105
Seahawks
Spread
-2.5-115
bet365
- -2.5-115
Over
Total
21.5-105
bet365
- 21.5-105
Under
Total
21.5-115
bet365
- 21.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
-0.1% 4.0%3.8%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
+160
DraftKings
+160 +120
Seahawks
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-192 -141
Patriots
Spread
+0.5-135
bet365
- +0.5-135
Seahawks
Spread
-0.5+115
bet365
- -0.5+115
Over
Total
7.5+105
bet365
- 7.5+105
Under
Total
7.5-125
bet365
- 7.5-125
Margin
Moneyline
-3.1% 4.0%3.8%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SEA line
-3.5
NE +3.5
- +100-122 +100-120

Top number: SEA at that line; bottom: NE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
30
Over / Under
- - -1000+535
30.5
Over / Under
- - -769+435
31
Over / Under
- - -769+430
31.5
Over / Under
- - -714+400
32
Over / Under
- - -714+395
32.5
Over / Under
- - -625+370
33
Over / Under
- - -625+355
33.5
Over / Under
- - -500+325
34
Over / Under
- - -476+320
34.5
Over / Under
- - -455+295
35
Over / Under
- - -435+290
35.5
Over / Under
- - -400+276
36
Over / Under
- - -385+268
36.5
Over / Under
- - -333+242
37
Over / Under
- - -312+230
37.5
Over / Under
- - -270+195
38
Over / Under
- - -263+190
38.5
Over / Under
- - -250+180
39
Over / Under
- - -238+176
39.5
Over / Under
- - -213+166
40
Over / Under
- - -204+162
40.5
Over / Under
- - -185+147
41
Over / Under
- - -179+142
41.5
Over / Under
- - -164+134
42
Over / Under
- - -159+130
42.5
Over / Under
- - -152+122
43
Over / Under
- - -141+112
43.5
Over / Under
- - -125+102
44
Over / Under
- - -116-104
44.5
Over / Under
- -108-112 -110-110
45
Over / Under
- - -104-116
45.5
Over / Under
- - +101-122
46
Over / Under
- - +104-128
46.5
Over / Under
- - +108-135
47
Over / Under
- - +120-149
47.5
Over / Under
- - +130-159
48
Over / Under
- - +135-167
48.5
Over / Under
- - +138-172
49
Over / Under
- - +147-185
49.5
Over / Under
- - +154-192
50
Over / Under
- - +166-213
50.5
Over / Under
- - +172-233
51
Over / Under
- - +186-263
51.5
Over / Under
- - +200-278
52
Over / Under
- - +210-286
52.5
Over / Under
- - +215-294
53
Over / Under
- - +232-312
53.5
Over / Under
- - +240-333
54
Over / Under
- - +258-370
54.5
Over / Under
- - +265-385
55
Over / Under
- - +280-417
55.5
Over / Under
- - +288-435
56
Over / Under
- - +314-455
56.5
Over / Under
- - +320-476
57
Over / Under
- - +344-556
57.5
Over / Under
- - +350-588
58
Over / Under
- - +385-667
58.5
Over / Under
- - +395-714
59
Over / Under
- - +420-714

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.