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Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills odds

Baltimore
Ravens
SM rating 1542 · #14
@
Sunday, November 1
1:00 PM ET
Highmark Stadium
Buffalo
Bills
SM rating 1697 · #2
saysFull matchup analysis →
BAL 26%BUF 74%
Fair moneyline
+286 / -286
BAL / BUF, no vig
Market win %
38% / 62%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BUF +12 pts
SharpModels 74% · market 62% (no vig)
Ratings
1542 / 1697
BAL / BUF, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something, so the injury list is the first place to look. These two are 12 points apart.

Game lines

Updated 4:11 AM ET
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
 +160
DraftKings
 +160 +152 +155 +143 +155 +158 +156
Bills
Moneyline
 -177
BetRivers
 -192 -180 -190 -177 -192 -189 -194
Ravens
Spread
 +3.5-116
Fanatics
 +3.5-118 +3.5-118 +3.5-118 +3.5-117 +3.5-116 +3.5-118 +3.5-122
Bills
Spread
 -3.5+100
Kalshi
 -3.5-102 -3.5-104 -3.5-102 -3.5-105 -3.5-105 -3.5-102 -3.5+100
Over
Total
 53-108
BetRivers
 53.5-112 52.5-118 53.5-108 53-108 53.5-111 53.5-109 53.5-113
Under
Total
 53.5-108
DraftKings
 53.5-108 52.5-108 53.5-110 53-113 53.5-111 53.5-111 53.5-117
Margin
Moneyline
 2.3% 4.0%3.8%4.5%4.8%4.7%4.0%4.8%
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
 +140
FanDuel
 +130 +140 +138 +135 +139
Bills
Moneyline
 -155
DraftKings
 -155 -172 -177 -167 -164
Ravens
Spread
 +2.5+100
FanDuel
 +2.5-108 +2.5+100 +2.5-103 +1.5+100 +2.5-103
Bills
Spread
 -1.5-120
Fanatics
 -2.5-112 -2.5-120 -2.5-121 -1.5-120 -2.5-118
Over
Total
 26.5-110
DraftKings
 26.5-110 26.5-110 26.5-112 26.5-120 26.5-110
Under
Total
 26.5-110
DraftKings
 26.5-110 26.5-110 26.5-112 26.5-111 26.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
 2.4% 4.1%4.7%5.6%4.9%3.8%
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
 +114
FanDuel
 +114 +114
Bills
Moneyline
 -132
FanDuel
 -132 -141
Ravens
Spread
 +0.5-111
FanDuel
 +0.5-111 +1.5-120
Bills
Spread
 -1.5-104
BetRivers
 -0.5-115 -1.5-104
Over
Total
 26.5-110
FanDuel
 26.5-110 26.5-117
Under
Total
 26.5-107
BetRivers
 26.5-110 26.5-107
Margin
Moneyline
 3.5% 3.5%5.0%
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
 +135
bet365
 +130 +132 +133 +130 +135
Bills
Moneyline
 -155
DraftKings
 -155 -162 -165 -172 -159
Ravens
Spread
 +0.5-125
DraftKings
 +0.5-125 +1.5-136 +1.5-137 +0.5-125 +0.5-125
Bills
Spread
 -0.5+105
DraftKings
 -0.5+105 -1.5+112 -1.5+110 -0.5+105 -0.5+105
Over
Total
 10.5+130
DraftKings
 10.5+130 9.5-146 9.5-148 9.5-156 9.5-149
Under
Total
 9.5+125
bet365
 10.5-155 9.5+120 9.5+118 9.5+115 9.5+125
Margin
Moneyline
 3.2% 4.1%4.7%4.9%6.3%3.8%
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
 +122
FanDuel
 +122
Bills
Moneyline
 -150
FanDuel
 -150
Ravens
Spread
 +1.5-124
FanDuel
 +1.5-124
Bills
Spread
 -1.5+102
FanDuel
 -1.5+102
Over
Total
 16.5-108
FanDuel
 16.5-108
Under
Total
 16.5-114
FanDuel
 16.5-114
Margin
Moneyline
 4.8% 4.8%
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
 +102
FanDuel
 +102
Bills
Moneyline
 -124
FanDuel
 -124
Ravens
Spread
 +1.5-170
FanDuel
 +1.5-170
Bills
Spread
 -1.5+138
FanDuel
 -1.5+138
Over
Total
 10.5+112
FanDuel
 10.5+112
Under
Total
 10.5-136
FanDuel
 10.5-136
Margin
Moneyline
 4.6% 4.6%
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
 +110
FanDuel
 +110
Bills
Moneyline
 -134
FanDuel
 -134
Ravens
Spread
 +1.5-142
FanDuel
 +1.5-142
Bills
Spread
 -1.5+118
FanDuel
 -1.5+118
Over
Total
 14.5-110
FanDuel
 14.5-110
Under
Total
 14.5-110
FanDuel
 14.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
 4.7% 4.7%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Shortening drifting: a book's price or line moved in the last 6 hours (by at least a point of implied chance, or a line). Arrows point the way the number moved, next to the line when the line moved; hover or tap for what it was.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Kalshi prices include an estimate of Kalshi's trading fee, so they show what the bet costs. How we price Kalshi

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BUF line
-14
BAL +14
 - - +400-625 +450-835 +375-588 - -
-13.5
BAL +13.5
 +311-477 +360-530 +350-525 +370-625 +320-476 - +335-456
-13
BAL +13
 - - +340-500 +360-590 +320-476 - -
-12.5
BAL +12.5
 +285-427 +330-480 +310-450 +335-530 +290-435 - -
-12
BAL +12
 - - +310-450 +330-530 +290-435 - -
-11.5
BAL +11.5
 +262-384 +300-430 +290-425 +310-480 +280-400 - -
-11
BAL +11
 - - +280-400 +300-455 +265-385 - -
-10.5
BAL +10.5
 +236-339 +285-400 +260-375 +280-420 +250-357 - +257-355
-10
BAL +10
 - - +250-350 +265-385 +235-323 - -
-9.5
BAL +9.5
 +200-279 +240-330 +220-300 +230-335 +210-286 - +223-285
-9
BAL +9
 - - +210-295 +230-315 +200-270 - -
-8.5
BAL +8.5
 +188-261 +230-310 +210-285 +220-305 +200-270 - -
-8
BAL +8
 - - +200-275 +210-286 +190-250 - -
-7.5
BAL +7.5
 +168-231 +200-265 +180-235 +190-250 +175-227 - +178-245
-7
BAL +7
 - - +165-220 +175-225 +165-213 - -
-6.5
BAL +6.5
 +132-178 +146-188 +135-185 +143-180 +140-175 - +138-186
-6
BAL +6
 - - +130-175 +135-167 +130-161 - -
-5.5
BAL +5.5
 +117-157 +124-160 +115-155 +123-152 +120-147 - +122-156
-5
BAL +5
 - - +110-145 +117-143 +115-141 - -
-4.5
BAL +4.5
 +106-141 +112-142 +105-140 +110-136 +110-135 - +113-144
-4
BAL +4
 - - +100-130 +104-127 +105-125 - -
-3.5
BAL +3.5
 -102-118 -104-118 -102-118 -105-117 -105-116 -102-118 +100-122
-3
BAL +3
 - - -130-102 -122+100 -125+105 - -
-2.5
BAL +2.5
 -154+116 -150+118 -150+115 -143+116 -147+120 - -156+117
-2
BAL +2
 - - -160+120 -152+123 -156+125 - -
-1.5
BAL +1.5
 -173+129 -166+130 -165+125 -159+128 -161+130 - -170+127
-1
BAL +1
 - - -185+138 -175+135 -182+145 - -
-0.5
BAL +0.5
 - - - -180+143 - - -
PK
BAL PK
 - - - -182+145 - - -
+0.5
BAL -0.5
 - - - -186+145 - - -
+1
BAL -1
 - - -210+160 -200+155 -213+165 - -
+1.5
BAL -1.5
 -235+171 -215+164 -225+165 -210+160 -222+170 - -223+163
+2
BAL -2
 - - -235+175 -225+170 -238+180 - -
+2.5
BAL -2.5
 -265+191 -245+186 -250+180 -230+175 -244+185 - -245+186
+3
BAL -3
 - - -325+230 -295+215 -323+235 - -
+3.5
BAL -3.5
 -389+264 -350+255 -350+260 -335+235 -357+250 - -355+257
+4
BAL -4
 - - -400+280 -375+260 -435+290 - -
+4.5
BAL -4.5
 -446+295 -410+290 -425+290 -400+270 -435+290 - -426+285
+5
BAL -5
 - - -475+320 -435+290 -476+320 - -
+5.5
BAL -5.5
 -511+329 -460+320 -475+333 -455+300 -476+320 - -488+317
+6
BAL -6
 - - -550+360 -530+335 -588+375 - -
+6.5
BAL -6.5
 -600+371 -560+370 -550+375 -560+350 -588+375 - -525+376
+7
BAL -7
 - - -750+475 -835+450 -769+450 - -

Top number: BUF at that line; bottom: BAL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
39
Over / Under
 - - - - -769+450 -833+455 -
39.5
Over / Under
 -930+500 -770+470 - -770+450 -667+410 -714+415 -
40
Over / Under
 - - - -715+440 -667+410 -714+405 -
40.5
Over / Under
 -770+440 -650+420 - -625+390 -556+360 -625+360 -669+400
41
Over / Under
 - - - -590+380 -526+350 -588+350 -
41.5
Over / Under
 -630+384 -520+350 - -500+335 -476+320 -526+328 -
42
Over / Under
 - - - -500+325 -455+310 -500+324 -
42.5
Over / Under
 -566+355 -480+330 - -455+310 -435+290 -476+312 -
43
Over / Under
 - - - -435+300 -400+280 -455+296 -
43.5
Over / Under
 -459+302 -400+285 -375+270 -385+270 -357+250 -385+262 -426+270
44
Over / Under
 - - -375+260 -375+260 -357+250 -370+248 -
44.5
Over / Under
 -382+260 -340+250 -325+230 -335+235 -312+230 -333+225 -
45
Over / Under
 - - -300+225 -315+225 -303+220 -323+220 -
45.5
Over / Under
 -332+232 -295+220 -285+210 -286+210 -286+210 -303+210 -
46
Over / Under
 - - -275+200 -278+205 -270+200 -294+208 -
46.5
Over / Under
 -298+211 -265+200 -250+190 -250+190 -250+190 -278+190 -285+203
47
Over / Under
 - - -235+180 -245+185 -238+180 -263+185 -
47.5
Over / Under
 -250+181 -225+172 -220+165 -215+165 -213+165 -227+162 -
48
Over / Under
 - - -210+155 -205+160 -208+160 -222+160 -
48.5
Over / Under
 -223+163 -196+152 -200+145 -190+148 -192+150 -208+155 -
49
Over / Under
 - - -190+140 -182+143 -182+145 -200+150 -
49.5
Over / Under
 -197+146 -178+138 -185+135 -175+135 -172+135 -189+140 -194+133
50
Over / Under
 - - -175+130 -162+130 -161+130 -182+132 -
50.5
Over / Under
 -176+131 -158+124 -160+120 -150+123 -156+125 -161+121 -170+117
51
Over / Under
 - - -150+115 -139+115 -141+115 -152+112 -
51.5
Over / Under
 -147+110 -132+104 -135+105 -127+105 -125+105 -143+102 -133+100
52
Over / Under
 - - -130-102 -121+100 -125+105 -139-102 -
52.5
Over / Under
 -132-101 -118-108 -125-105 -114-107 -120+100 -135-105 -122+100
53
Over / Under
 - - -118-110 -108-113 -116-105 -132-108 -
53.5
Over / Under
 -112-108 -105-115 -108-110 -103-118 -111-111 -109-111 -113-117
54
Over / Under
 - - -108-120 +105-127 +100-120 -108-132 -
54.5
Over / Under
 -104-128 +106-136 -102-130 +112-136 +105-125 -105-135 +100-133
55
Over / Under
 - - +105-140 +120-148 +110-135 +100-141 -
55.5
Over / Under
 +111-148 +124-158 +115-145 +128-157 +115-141 +105-145 +117-156
56
Over / Under
 - - +115-155 +132-165 +120-147 +112-152 -
56.5
Over / Under
 +120-161 +134-172 +120-160 +135-175 +125-156 +115-154 -
57
Over / Under
 - - +130-175 +145-186 +130-161 +125-175 -
57.5
Over / Under
 +139-188 +150-194 +135-185 +155-200 +140-175 +135-185 -
58
Over / Under
 - - +145-200 +165-220 +150-192 +148-196 -
58.5
Over / Under
 +158-214 +172-225 +155-210 +175-230 +155-196 +155-208 +163-223
59
Over / Under
 - - +165-225 +185-245 +165-213 +160-222 -
59.5
Over / Under
 +179-247 +190-250 +170-235 +190-265 +170-222 +165-233 -
60
Over / Under
 - - +180-235 +205-278 +180-238 +172-244 -
60.5
Over / Under
 +196-274 +210-280 +185-250 +210-286 +185-244 +180-256 -
61
Over / Under
 - - +200-275 +230-315 +200-270 +200-278 -
61.5
Over / Under
 +226-323 +240-330 +210-295 +240-335 +210-286 +208-294 +223-300
62
Over / Under
 - - +230-325 +260-375 +220-303 +218-312 -
62.5
Over / Under
 +250-364 +260-360 +240-325 +265-385 +220-303 +220-323 -
63
Over / Under
 - - +250-350 +290-420 +240-333 +240-345 -
63.5
Over / Under
 +280-417 +300-430 +260-375 +295-435 +250-357 +246-370 -
64
Over / Under
 - - - +320-480 +265-385 +272-417 -
64.5
Over / Under
 +311-476 +330-480 - +325-480 +265-385 +278-435 +300-426
65
Over / Under
 - - - +370-560 +290-435 +304-476 -
65.5
Over / Under
 +365-588 +390-590 - +380-590 +310-455 +316-500 -
66
Over / Under
 - - - +410-670 +330-500 +328-526 -
66.5
Over / Under
 +403-680 +420-650 - +420-670 +350-526 +332-526 -
67
Over / Under
 - - - - +360-556 +355-625 -
67.5
Over / Under
 +452-800 +460-750 - - +375-588 +365-625 +456-614
68
Over / Under
 - - - - +410-667 +395-714 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.

Team totals

Team
Ravens - O/U 24.5-111 / -115 - O/U 24.5-107 / -114 - - -
Bills - O/U 28.5-104 / -122 - O/U 27.5-120 / -103 - - -

Line movement